BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Ganja City Stadium, Tovuz
Referee
V. Hasanli
Form

Recent form

Kapaz
50Average

Last 4 matches · 2W-0D-2L · -3 goal difference

Şamaxı FK
52Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Both Teams to Score
No

BetGenius backs No (Both Teams to Score) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Kapaz host Şamaxı FK in round four of the Premyer Liqa, with both sides looking to build momentum in the early stages of the season. Kapaz enter the fixture sitting seventh in the standings with three points from two matches, having secured a 1-0 home victory against Turan in their latest outing.

Şamaxı FK occupy ninth position after picking up two points from their opening three away fixtures. The visitors have demonstrated a resilient defensive structure, recording consecutive 0-0 draws on the road against Turan and Qabala, though their attacking output has produced just one goal across three games.

Historical encounters between these two clubs indicate a tightly contested fixture, with seven of their last ten head-to-head meetings finishing under 2.5 goals. Given the low-scoring trends of both teams in the opening weeks of the campaign, another closely fought contest with limited scoring chances is anticipated.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Şamaxı FK have played out two consecutive 0-0 draws in their previous two league outings.
  2. Kapaz secured a 1-0 clean-sheet victory in their only home match of the campaign against Turan.
  3. Seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Kapaz and Şamaxı FK have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  4. Şamaxı FK have scored only once across three away matches this season, averaging 0.3 goals per game.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kapaz at homeŞamaxı FK away
3
Played
5
2-0-1
W-D-L
1-3-1
1
Scored /game
1.2
1.3
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
40%
—
Failed to score
40%
—
BTTS (last 5)
60%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Kapaz at home plus Şamaxı FK away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2Neftchi BakuPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+1317
3QarabagPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)7+717
4Zira9015
5Kapaz8014
6Turan8+214
7Şamaxı FK8+313
8Sumqayıt8-18
9Qabala9-117
10Imisli FK8-67
History

Head-to-head

3
Kapaz
2
Draws
5
Şamaxı FK

Şamaxı FK have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-09-04Kapaz1-4Şamaxı FK
  • 2026-04-26Şamaxı FK2-0Kapaz
  • 2026-01-31Kapaz0-2Şamaxı FK
  • 2025-10-17Şamaxı FK1-4Kapaz
  • 2025-04-20Şamaxı FK2-1Kapaz
BetGenius

Our record in Premyer Liqa

72%28 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
No
68%
Confidence

Şamaxı FK have failed to score in two of their three matches this season while keeping two clean sheets in those low-scoring draws against Turan and Qabala. Kapaz have kept a clean sheet in their sole home match and have scored only one goal in total, making a match where at least one team fails to find the net a probable outcome.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Both teams have shown minimal goal returns in the early part of the season. Kapaz have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game across their two matches, while Şamaxı FK have averaged only 0.3 goals scored per game across three away trips. Furthermore, 70 percent of the last ten meetings between these sides have produced under 2.5 goals.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
Kapaz or Draw
65%
Confidence

Kapaz won their only home match of the campaign 1-0 against Turan, displaying defensive solidity. Şamaxı FK remain winless across their three away fixtures to date, recording two draws and one defeat, making the home side well positioned to take at least a point.

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + BTTS No
68%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Both teams have shown minimal goal returns in the early part of the season. Kapaz have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game across their two matches, while Şamaxı FK have averaged only 0.3 goals scored per game across three away trips. Furthermore, 70 percent of the last ten meetings between these sides have produced under 2.5 goals.

No — 68% confidence

Şamaxı FK have failed to score in two of their three matches this season while keeping two clean sheets in those low-scoring draws against Turan and Qabala. Kapaz have kept a clean sheet in their sole home match and have scored only one goal in total, making a match where at least one team fails to find the net a probable outcome.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published September 2, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.