BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
Zhestar Stadium, Aktau
Referee
A. Tasybaev
Form

Recent form

Kaspiy
35Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -3 goal difference

Kairat Almaty
60Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Kairat Almaty or Draw

BetGenius backs Kairat Almaty or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Kaspiy welcome second-placed Kairat Almaty to Aktau in Round 25 of the Premier League. The hosts sit tenth in the table with 26 points from 23 matches, having found some home stability with five wins and three draws from eleven fixtures on their own turf, including a 1-0 victory over FK Tobol Kostanay in their previous outing.

Kairat Almaty are mounting a serious title challenge, occupying second spot with 51 points from 22 league games and trailing league leaders Ordabasy by four points with a game in hand. Domestically, Kairat have been formidable, losing just once all season with 15 wins and 6 draws across 22 fixtures, alongside the league's second-best defense with only 15 goals conceded.

Head-to-head records heavily favour the visitors, who have claimed six victories and three draws across the last ten meetings between the sides, including a 2-0 win when they met earlier in the campaign. Kaspiy have never defeated Kairat at home in their four recorded home encounters, drawing three and losing one.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Kairat Almaty have suffered only one defeat across 22 league matches this season, winning 15 and drawing six.
  2. Kaspiy have failed to beat Kairat in all four home head-to-head encounters, drawing three and losing one.
  3. Kairat possess one of the league's tightest defenses, conceding just 15 goals in 22 matches and keeping 10 clean sheets overall.
  4. Kaspiy have won only seven of their 23 league matches and hold a negative goal difference of minus six.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kaspiy at homeKairat Almaty away
13
Played
1
5-3-5
W-D-L
0-1-0
1.4
Scored /game
—
1.5
Conceded /game
—
23%
Clean sheets
—
15%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Players

Key players this season

Kairat Almaty

  • Marc Gual4G · 2A
  • Lucas Áfrico1G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1OrdabasyQualifying27+3564
2Kairat AlmatyQualifying27+3863
3FC Astana27+1649
4Okzhetpes28+548
5Aktobe28+745
6Yelimay Semey28+244
7FK Tobol Kostanay28+140
8Ulytau28-735
9Kaspiy28-833
10Zhenys28-932
11Kyzyl-Zhar28-1028
12Atyrau27-727
History

Head-to-head

1
Kaspiy
3
Draws
6
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-04-18Kairat Almaty2-0Kaspiy
  • 2025-04-12Kairat Almaty3-0Kaspiy
  • 2023-10-01Kaspiy1-1Kairat Almaty
  • 2023-03-14Kairat Almaty3-1Kaspiy
  • 2022-08-27Kaspiy2-2Kairat Almaty
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

47%27 won from 58 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Kairat Almaty or Draw
78%
Confidence

Kairat Almaty have lost only one of their 22 Premier League fixtures this season and hold an excellent away record of eight wins, three draws, and one defeat with 21 goals scored and 10 conceded. Kaspiy have managed just seven wins in 23 league matches and have never beaten Kairat at home in four recorded attempts. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat covers both the away victory and a potential draw on Kaspiy's home pitch.

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Published September 3, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.