BetGenius

Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty prediction

Checking status…
Premier LeaguePremier League
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5, 12:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
Zhestar Stadium, Aktau
Referee
A. Tasybaev

Recent form

Kaspiy
56Average

Last 4 matches · 1W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Kairat Almaty
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +1 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Kairat Almaty or Draw
Confidence78%

BetGenius backs Kairat Almaty or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Kaspiy welcome second-placed Kairat Almaty to Aktau in Round 25 of the Premier League. The hosts sit tenth in the table with 26 points from 23 matches, having found some home stability with five wins and three draws from eleven fixtures on their own turf, including a 1-0 victory over FK Tobol Kostanay in their previous outing.

Kairat Almaty are mounting a serious title challenge, occupying second spot with 51 points from 22 league games and trailing league leaders Ordabasy by four points with a game in hand. Domestically, Kairat have been formidable, losing just once all season with 15 wins and 6 draws across 22 fixtures, alongside the league's second-best defense with only 15 goals conceded.

Head-to-head records heavily favour the visitors, who have claimed six victories and three draws across the last ten meetings between the sides, including a 2-0 win when they met earlier in the campaign. Kaspiy have never defeated Kairat at home in their four recorded home encounters, drawing three and losing one.

Key factors

  • Kairat Almaty have suffered only one defeat across 22 league matches this season, winning 15 and drawing six.
  • Kaspiy have failed to beat Kairat in all four home head-to-head encounters, drawing three and losing one.
  • Kairat possess one of the league's tightest defenses, conceding just 15 goals in 22 matches and keeping 10 clean sheets overall.
  • Kaspiy have won only seven of their 23 league matches and hold a negative goal difference of minus six.

Statistical comparison

Kaspiy at home vs Kairat Almaty away
11
Played
13
5-3-3
W-D-L
9-3-1
1.5
Scored /game
1.8
1.4
Conceded /game
0.8
27%
Clean sheets
38%
9%
Failed to score
8%
—
BTTS (last 5)
20%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Kaspiy at home plus Kairat Almaty away).

Key players this season

Kairat Almaty

  • Marc Gual4G · 2A
  • Lucas Áfrico1G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1OrdabasyQualifying24+2955
2Kairat AlmatyQualifying23+3254
3FC Astana23+1745
4Okzhetpes24+542
5Aktobe24+638
7FK Tobol Kostanay24-331
8Ulytau24-531
9Zhenys23-329
10Kaspiy24-926
11Kyzyl-Zhar24-924
12Atyrau23-623
13Zhetysu24-1622

Head-to-head

Full record →
Kaspiy
1
Draws
3
Kairat Almaty
6

Kairat Almaty have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-04-18Kairat Almaty 2-0 Kaspiy
  • 2025-04-12Kairat Almaty 3-0 Kaspiy
  • 2023-10-01Kaspiy 1-1 Kairat Almaty
  • 2023-03-14Kairat Almaty 3-1 Kaspiy
  • 2022-08-27Kaspiy 2-2 Kairat Almaty

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Kairat Almaty or Draw
Confidence78%

Kairat Almaty have lost only one of their 22 Premier League fixtures this season and hold an excellent away record of eight wins, three draws, and one defeat with 21 goals scored and 10 conceded. Kaspiy have managed just seven wins in 23 league matches and have never beaten Kairat at home in four recorded attempts. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat covers both the away victory and a potential draw on Kaspiy's home pitch.

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OrdabasyFC AstanaOkzhetpesAktobeYelimay SemeyFK Tobol Kostanay
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Published September 3, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.