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Sun 11 Oct · 14:00

Lecce vs Bologna prediction

Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Referee
Luca Pairetto, Italy
Form

Recent form

Lecce
46Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Bologna
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Lecce welcome Bologna to the Stadio Via del Mare for round six of the Serie A season, with both sides seeking momentum following mixed starts to their domestic campaigns. Lecce sit in 12th place with six points from their opening five fixtures, having registered two victories and three defeats. Roberto D'Aversa's side have struggled for attacking consistency, failing to score in three of their five league outings while conceding ten goals across that run.

Bologna travel south sitting 18th in the relegation zone, having gathered two points from two draws and three defeats in their opening five matches. The visitors have found goals difficult to come by, netting just three times all season and remaining scoreless in their two away fixtures, both of which ended in 1-0 defeats against Napoli and Atalanta. Their attacking options are further thinned with A. Dovbyk, J. Odgaard, and E. Holm all sidelined by injury.

While head-to-head history heavily favours Bologna, who are unbeaten across their past ten meetings with Lecce including seven victories and three draws, their present lack of away firepower suggests a tightly contested affair. With neither side demonstrating regular attacking output, chances could be at a premium.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Bologna have failed to score in both of their away league matches this season, suffering consecutive 1-0 defeats.
  2. Lecce have failed to score in three of their five Serie A fixtures, holding a modest season scoring average of 1.0 goal per game.
  3. Bologna are missing attacking contributors A. Dovbyk and J. Odgaard due to muscle and thigh injuries.
  4. Four of Bologna's five Serie A fixtures this campaign have ended with under 2.5 total goals scored.
  5. Bologna are unbeaten in their last ten head-to-head encounters with Lecce, recording seven victories and three draws.
Availability

Team news

Lecce

  • L. CoulibalyThigh Injury
  • I. IlicThigh Injury
  • S. PierottiAnkle Injury
  • M. BerishaThigh Injury

Bologna

  • E. HolmThigh Injury
  • R. OrsoliniThigh Injury
  • R. PiccoliHamstring Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lecce at homeBologna away
3
Played
3
1-0-2
W-D-L
1-0-2
1.3
Scored /game
0.7
2.7
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Lecce at home plus Bologna away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
9Juventus7+111
10Napoli7+310
11Atalanta7-19
12Lecce7-39
13Sassuolo7-28
14Monza8-37
15Bologna7-45
16Udinese7-74
17Genoa7-84
18FiorentinaRelegation7-94
History

Head-to-head

0
Lecce
3
Draws
7
Bologna

Bologna have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game.

  • 2026-10-11Lecce1-2Bologna
  • 2026-04-12Bologna2-0Lecce
  • 2025-09-28Lecce2-2Bologna
  • 2025-02-09Lecce0-0Bologna
  • 2024-11-02Bologna1-0Lecce
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

69%83 won from 120 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
70%
Confidence

Both clubs enter this fixture with pronounced offensive limitations. Bologna have scored only three goals in five Serie A matches this season, an average of 0.6 goals per game, and have failed to score in both away fixtures to date. Their attacking potency is further diminished with forwards A. Dovbyk and J. Odgaard unavailable due to injury. Lecce have also been held scoreless in three of their five matches, averaging 1.0 goal per match overall. Four of Bologna's five Serie A matches have produced under 2.5 total goals, with their away results being tight 1-0 scorelines. Given these low-scoring trends, the evidence strongly points towards a match producing under 2.5 total goals.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.