Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -4 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference
BetGenius backs Lecce or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Lecce host Monza in Serie A Round 4 looking to recover from consecutive league defeats against AS Roma and Cagliari. Sitting 14th in the standings with three points from their first three fixtures, Lecce have scored two goals and conceded five in league play.
Monza enter the match in 17th position with a single point, earned from a 1-1 draw at Parma after losing their opening fixtures against Inter and Udinese. The visitors have conceded eight goals in their three league matches and carry several squad absences, with Matteo Pessina, Ibrahima Toure, Gustavo Varela, and Jan Ziolkowski ruled out through injury alongside Patrick Ciurria.
Historical meetings between these clubs have consistently produced tight, low-scoring contests. Lecce are unbeaten in five home matches against Monza, recording two wins and three draws, while the ten-match head-to-head record shows an average of just 1.5 goals per game with under 2.5 goals occurring in 80 percent of those fixtures.
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Udinese | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Napoli | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Torino | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Lecce | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Bologna | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Parma | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Monza | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | VeneziaRelegation | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 19 | GenoaRelegation | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 20 | FiorentinaRelegation | 3 | -8 | 0 |
Lecce have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.5 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Lecce hold an unbeaten home record against Monza across five head-to-head meetings, taking two victories and three draws. Monza travel with a weakened lineup missing several key players including Matteo Pessina and Ibrahima Toure, and remain without a win in Serie A after three rounds with two defeats and a draw.
Historical data points strongly toward a low-scoring encounter, as eight of the ten head-to-head meetings between Lecce and Monza have produced under 2.5 goals, averaging 1.5 goals per fixture. Lecce have struggled for offensive output, failing to score in two of their three Serie A matches this season and averaging 0.7 goals per game overall. While Monza have conceded eight goals, their own scoring rate on the road sits at one goal per match, making a tight contest the most probable dynamic.
Lecce or Draw — 72% confidence
Lecce hold an unbeaten home record against Monza across five head-to-head meetings, taking two victories and three draws. Monza travel with a weakened lineup missing several key players including Matteo Pessina and Ibrahima Toure, and remain without a win in Serie A after three rounds with two defeats and a draw.
Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence
Historical data points strongly toward a low-scoring encounter, as eight of the ten head-to-head meetings between Lecce and Monza have produced under 2.5 goals, averaging 1.5 goals per fixture. Lecce have struggled for offensive output, failing to score in two of their three Serie A matches this season and averaging 0.7 goals per game overall. While Monza have conceded eight goals, their own scoring rate on the road sits at one goal per match, making a tight contest the most probable dynamic.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
