BetGenius
Round
League D - 1
Venue
Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Referee
Ante Čulina, Croatia
Form

Recent form

Liechtenstein
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -8 goal difference

Lithuania
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Lithuania or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Lithuania or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 72% confidence — a solid call.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Liechtenstein host Lithuania in the opening round of UEFA Nations League D, with both nations looking to establish early momentum in the group. The hosts enter this encounter on the back of three consecutive defeats, most recently falling 2-0 at home against Cyprus and 2-0 away to Andorra in June 2026.

Lithuania also experienced mixed fortunes in their summer outings, recording a 1-1 draw against Latvia before suffering a narrow 1-0 away defeat to Estonia. Their last competitive victory came in March 2026 with a 2-0 away triumph over Moldova, demonstrating their capability to perform on the road against lower-ranked opposition.

With both teams struggling for offensive output across recent fixtures, this matchup points toward a closely contested, low-scoring encounter where defensive resilience will be paramount.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Liechtenstein at homeLithuania away
1
Played
1
0-0-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
0%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
0%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Lithuania or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals
72%
Both must land · no better than

Lithuania or Draw — 72% confidence

Liechtenstein have suffered four defeats in their last five fixtures, conceding 15 goals in total and losing recent games against Cyprus (0-2), Andorra (0-2), and Aruba (1-4). Lithuania have been more competitive in comparable fixtures, having secured an away win over Moldova (2-0) and a draw with Latvia (1-1) over their last five games.

Under 2.5 Goals — 75% confidence

Both sides have shown severe limitations in attack in their recent fixtures. Liechtenstein have scored only two goals across their last five matches, failing to score in four of them. Lithuania have similarly struggled to generate goals, seeing under 2.5 total goals in four of their last five matches, including consecutive low-scoring matches against Estonia (0-1), Latvia (1-1), Georgia (0-2), and Moldova (2-0).

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
No
70%
Confidence

Both teams to score has failed to land in four of Liechtenstein's last five matches, as they were shut out by Cyprus, Andorra, and Belgium. Lithuania have also seen both teams fail to score in four of their last five matches, having been held scoreless against Estonia, Georgia, and the Netherlands while keeping a clean sheet against Moldova.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Lithuania or Draw
72%
Confidence

Liechtenstein have suffered four defeats in their last five fixtures, conceding 15 goals in total and losing recent games against Cyprus (0-2), Andorra (0-2), and Aruba (1-4). Lithuania have been more competitive in comparable fixtures, having secured an away win over Moldova (2-0) and a draw with Latvia (1-1) over their last five games.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
75%
Confidence

Both sides have shown severe limitations in attack in their recent fixtures. Liechtenstein have scored only two goals across their last five matches, failing to score in four of them. Lithuania have similarly struggled to generate goals, seeing under 2.5 total goals in four of their last five matches, including consecutive low-scoring matches against Estonia (0-1), Latvia (1-1), Georgia (0-2), and Moldova (2-0).

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Published September 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.