BetGenius

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Mon, Aug 24, 06:15 PM
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
Referee
Volen Chinkov, Bulgaria

Recent form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -7 goal difference

Arda Kardzhali
83Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Arda Kardzhali or Draw
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Arda Kardzhali or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Lokomotiv Plovdiv host Arda Kardzhali at the Stadion Lokomotiv in First League action, with both sides experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. Lokomotiv Plovdiv enter the clash in 11th position, having accumulated only 3 points from their opening 5 fixtures after suffering 4 defeats (LWLLL). Their offensive output has been notably limited, scoring just 3 goals across 5 matches while failing to score in 3 of those outings.

In contrast, Arda Kardzhali sit 5th in the standings with 10 points from 5 matches, recording 3 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 defeat (DWLWW). The visitors have found the net in every single match this season, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game while maintaining a solid defensive record of 0.8 goals conceded per game.

While historical head-to-head encounters show parity with 3 wins apiece and 3 draws over their last 9 meetings, Arda's superior momentum and scoring consistency provide them with a distinct edge heading into this fixture.

Key factors

  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost 4 of their first 5 league fixtures, collecting only 3 points.
  • Arda Kardzhali have earned 10 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and have scored in every fixture.
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv have averaged just 0.6 goals per game and failed to score in 3 matches this season.
  • Arda Kardzhali concede an average of only 0.8 goals per match, including 2 clean sheets in 5 games.
  • The 9 historical head-to-head fixtures between the two sides show 3 wins each and 3 draws, with 55.6% finishing under 2.5 goals.

Statistical comparison

Lokomotiv Plovdiv at home vs Arda Kardzhali away
3
Played
4
1-0-2
W-D-L
2-1-1
1
Scored /game
1.3
1.3
Conceded /game
0.8
Clean sheets
Failed to score
20%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Lokomotiv Plovdiv at home plus Arda Kardzhali away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
2LudogoretsPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)8+820
3CSKA SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)7+1217
4CSKA 1948Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)8+716
5Arda KardzhaliPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)8+616
6Slavia SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)8+210
7Botev PlovdivPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)8-310
8Spartak VarnaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)8-49
9Septemvri Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-68
10Botev Vratsaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-107
11Lokomotiv Plovdivefbet League (Relegation Group)8-66
12Cherno More Varnaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-94
13Dunav Ruseefbet League (Relegation Group)8-84
14Lokomotiv Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)7-63

Head-to-head

Full record →
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3
Draws
3
Arda Kardzhali
3

the last 9 meetings are split 3-3 with 3 drawn, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-24Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Arda Kardzhali
  • 2026-07-04Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 Arda Kardzhali
  • 2026-05-16Arda Kardzhali 4-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  • 2026-05-08Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 Arda Kardzhali
  • 2026-04-30Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Arda Kardzhali

Our record in First League

55%17 won from 31 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Arda Kardzhali or Draw
Confidence74%

Arda Kardzhali arrive in superior form, winning 3 of their last 4 league games and scoring in all 5 matches this season. Conversely, Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost 4 of their 5 fixtures, averaging just 0.6 goals scored per game. Backing Arda Kardzhali or Draw provides strong coverage against a struggling home side, while a low-scoring match under 2.5 total goals aligns with Lokomotiv's offensive struggles and Arda's tight defensive record.

More from BetGenius

All First League predictions →

Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.