BetGenius

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna prediction

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Kickoff
Sun, Sep 6, 04:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
Referee
Ventsislav Mitrev, Bulgaria

Recent form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -7 goal difference

Cherno More Varna
27Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Cherno More Varna or Draw
Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Cherno More Varna or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Lokomotiv Plovdiv host Cherno More Varna in round eight of the Bulgarian First League, with both sides searching for positive momentum following difficult starts to the campaign. The hosts sit at the bottom of the table in 14th place with three points, having suffered six defeats in their opening seven fixtures.

Cherno More Varna occupy 11th place on four points and have struggled for consistency, particularly on their travels where they have picked up just one point from four away games. However, their offensive output of eight goals gives them an edge over a Lokomotiv side that has managed only three goals all season and failed to score in five matches.

Recent head-to-head history also tilts towards the visitors. Cherno More are unbeaten in the last four meetings between the teams, having won both encounters earlier this year without conceding a goal.

Key factors

  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv enter this fixture on a five-match losing streak in the league.
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv have scored only three goals in seven matches and failed to score in five of them.
  • Cherno More Varna are unbeaten in the last four head-to-head encounters against Lokomotiv Plovdiv, winning the last two to nil.
  • Six of the last ten meetings between these two sides have produced under 2.5 total goals, averaging 2.2 goals per game.

Statistical comparison

Lokomotiv Plovdiv at home vs Cherno More Varna away
3
Played
4
1-0-2
W-D-L
0-1-3
1
Scored /game
0.8
1.3
Conceded /game
2.3
Clean sheets
Failed to score
20%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Lokomotiv Plovdiv at home plus Cherno More Varna away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
8Spartak VarnaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)8-49
9Septemvri Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-68
10Botev Vratsaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-107
11Lokomotiv Plovdivefbet League (Relegation Group)8-66
12Cherno More Varnaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-94
13Dunav Ruseefbet League (Relegation Group)8-84
14Lokomotiv Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)7-63

Head-to-head

Full record →
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3
Draws
3
Cherno More Varna
4

Cherno More Varna have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-06Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Cherno More Varna
  • 2026-05-12Cherno More Varna 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  • 2026-04-26Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Cherno More Varna
  • 2026-02-15Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Cherno More Varna
  • 2025-08-23Cherno More Varna 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Our record in First League

55%17 won from 31 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Cherno More Varna or Draw
Confidence68%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost five consecutive league matches and six of their seven overall this season. Their major issue is in attack, where they have scored just three goals and failed to find the net in five of seven fixtures. While Cherno More Varna have had their own issues on the road, they possess significantly more attacking threat with eight goals scored and are undefeated in their last four head-to-head meetings against Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Backing the visitors to earn at least a point offers strong coverage given the hosts extended slump.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.