BetGenius

Lorient vs Toulouse prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 06:45 PM
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

Recent form

Lorient
39Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Toulouse
28Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Lorient or Draw
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Lorient or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Lorient welcome Toulouse for matchday four of Ligue 1, looking to build on their recent 1-0 away victory against Lens. The hosts sit eighth in the standings with four points from their opening three fixtures, demonstrating solid defensive organisation with two clean sheets already recorded.

Toulouse have endured a difficult opening month, collecting a solitary point from their first three matches to sit seventeenth in the table. Consecutive home defeats against Lyon and Lille, alongside a 2-2 draw at Stade Brestois 29, have exposed defensive concerns, with five goals conceded across those outings.

Head-to-head fixtures between these clubs have historically been tight affairs, featuring five draws across the past ten meetings and seventy percent finishing with under 2.5 goals. With Toulouse missing several players including G. Restes, Lorient enter with a platform to secure a positive result.

Key factors

  • Lorient enter after a 1-0 away victory over Lens, holding four points from three matches.
  • Toulouse remain winless in Ligue 1 with one draw and two defeats, conceding five goals.
  • Five of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Lorient and Toulouse have ended in draws.
  • Toulouse travel without G. Restes, A. Francis, and A. Donnum.
  • Seventy percent of the previous ten fixtures between these two teams produced under 2.5 total goals.

Team news

Lorient

  • B. FadigaInjury

Toulouse

  • A. FrancisMuscle Injury
  • G. RestesInjury
  • A. DonnumPersonal Reasons

Statistical comparison

Lorient at home vs Toulouse away
1
Played
1
0-0-1
W-D-L
0-1-0
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
5RennesEuropa League league stage3+27
6StrasbourgPlay-offs3+16
7Stade Brestois 293+15
8Lorient304
9Estac Troyes3-34
10Marseille3+13
11Lens3+13
14Le Mans3-12
15Nice3-32
16Le HavreRelegation Playoffs3-21
17ToulouseRelegation3-31
18AuxerreRelegation3-70

Head-to-head

Full record →
Lorient
1
Draws
5
Toulouse
4

Toulouse have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-03-21Toulouse 1-0 Lorient
  • 2025-11-09Lorient 1-1 Toulouse
  • 2024-04-28Lorient 1-2 Toulouse
  • 2023-12-03Toulouse 1-1 Lorient
  • 2023-04-23Lorient 0-1 Toulouse

Our record in Ligue 1

51%20 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

Featured
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Lorient or Draw
Confidence74%

Lorient have shown steady defensive balance in the early stages of the season, conceding only two goals across three matches and picking up a 1-0 win away at Lens last time out. Toulouse are yet to find a victory in league play, having conceded five goals across their first three fixtures and dealing with key absences in G. Restes, A. Francis, and A. Donnum. Five of the last ten meetings between these sides have ended in draws, making the home-or-draw selection well-supported by both recent form and past encounters.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.