BetGenius
Round
1st Round Qualifying
Form

Recent form

Lower Breck
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +8 goal difference

Thornaby
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Lower Breck or Draw

BetGenius backs Lower Breck or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Lower Breck take on Thornaby in this FA Cup encounter, with the hosts looking to build on positive recent momentum. Lower Breck entered the matchday fresh off an emphatic 4-0 home victory over North Ferriby, showcasing potent attacking sharpness on their own pitch where they have also registered four-goal performances in past outings.

Thornaby arrive having faced challenging cup fixtures in their recorded form, regularly finding themselves involved in high-scoring contests. Their defensive unit has had difficulty keeping opponents quiet, conceding multiple goals across recent recorded matches, including a 2-1 defeat to Dunston UTS and a 5-0 loss against Hebburn Town.

With Lower Breck demonstrating strong offensive output at home and Thornaby prone to conceding chances, the hosts hold an advantage heading into this knockout clash.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Lower Breck recorded a dominant 4-0 home victory over North Ferriby in their most recent fixture.
  2. Lower Breck have scored three or more goals in three of their last five recorded matches.
  3. Thornaby have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five recorded games.
  4. Thornaby suffered defeats in three of their last four recorded matches, including a 5-0 loss to Hebburn Town.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lower Breck at homeThornaby away
—
Played
—
—
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%
History

Head-to-head

1
Lower Breck
0
Draws
0
Thornaby

Lower Breck have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-09-05Lower Breck5-1Thornaby
BetGenius

Our record in FA Cup

71%131 won from 185 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Lower Breck or Draw
75%
Confidence

Lower Breck have shown reliable scoring capability at home, highlighted by their recent 4-0 victory against North Ferriby. Thornaby have struggled at the back across their recorded outings, conceding two or more goals in four of their last five matches. Backing Lower Breck to avoid defeat offers strong coverage given their offensive form and home advantage.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.