BetGenius
Round
1/128-finals
Form

Recent form

Machico
74Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +4 goal difference

Camacha
66Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Machico and Camacha face off in the 1/128-finals of the Taça de Portugal in what promises to be a tightly contested regional cup clash. Machico enter this fixture in solid defensive form, remaining unbeaten in their last five outings with three wins and two draws while conceding just a single goal across that sequence.

Camacha travel following a 2-1 away victory against Alpendorada and a 1-1 draw with Salgueiros. They have historically held the upper hand in this rivalry, remaining undefeated across the last six head-to-head encounters against Machico with two victories and four draws.

Historically, this fixture has produced low-scoring battles, averaging just 1.33 goals per game across their past six meetings. Given Machico's defensive discipline and the closely matched history between both sides, this cup tie is likely to be settled by fine margins.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Head-to-head history shows an average of just 1.33 goals per match across six meetings, with five staying under the 2.5 goal mark.
  2. Machico have maintained four clean sheets across their last five matches, conceding only one goal in that span.
  3. Four of the six past meetings between Machico and Camacha resulted in draws (two 0-0 and two 1-1 scorelines).
  4. Camacha remain unbeaten against Machico across their last six meetings with two wins and four draws.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Machico at homeCamacha away
—
Played
1
—
W-D-L
0-1-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
History

Head-to-head

0
Machico
5
Draws
2
Camacha

Camacha have won 2 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 29% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-30Machico2-2Camacha
  • 2026-03-22Camacha2-1Machico
  • 2025-11-29Machico0-0Camacha
  • 2025-01-19Machico1-1Camacha
  • 2024-08-25Camacha0-0Machico
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Under 2.5 goals has landed in five of the six recorded head-to-head matches between these two clubs (83.3%), with an overall average of just 1.33 goals per match. Furthermore, Machico have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding only one goal in that stretch, pointing toward another low-scoring cup contest.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.