BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Form

Recent form

Mafra
53Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Tirsense
64Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Mafra or Draw

BetGenius backs Mafra or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Mafra host Tirsense in this Taça de Portugal Round of 128 tie, with both clubs seeking a path into the next phase of the knockout tournament.

Mafra enter the clash having shown reliable attacking production, scoring in each of their previous five matches across all competitions. In their last home game, they produced a tight 1-0 victory over SC Covilha, proving their ability to manage low-margin contests on familiar turf.

Tirsense have built momentum with three wins in their last four matches, collecting clean-sheet victories against Brito, Vinhais, and Rebordosa. However, a 2-1 away loss at Celoricense in that same stretch indicates potential defensive vulnerability when playing on the road.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Mafra have scored at least one goal in each of their last five matches.
  2. Mafra won their most recent home fixture 1-0 against SC Covilha.
  3. Tirsense have achieved three wins in their last four matches across all competitions.
  4. Tirsense conceded two goals in their last away defeat against Celoricense.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Mafra at homeTirsense away
1
Played
—
0-1-0
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Mafra or Draw
74%
Confidence

Mafra hold home territory and have found the net in each of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 1-0 victory in their prior home contest against SC Covilha. While Tirsense have secured three wins in their last four outings, their recent 2-1 away loss at Celoricense demonstrates defensive gaps on the road. Backing Mafra on the double chance provides strong probability coverage for the host avoiding defeat.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.