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Ligue 1Ligue 1
17:15
Sun 25 Oct

Marseille vs Le Havre prediction

Follow MarseilleFollow Le HavreFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Referee
Clement Turpin

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Marseille
45Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +2 goal difference

Le Havre
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Marseille or Draw

BetGenius backs Marseille or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Marseille welcome bottom-of-the-table Le Havre to the Stade Velodrome for matchday eight in Ligue 1. The hosts sit ninth in the standings with nine points from seven matches, having recorded three wins and four defeats. Marseille enter the fixture looking to build on their domestic scoring form, having recently posted a 5-2 away win over Angers.

Le Havre arrive in southern France under mounting pressure, positioned 18th with just two points from their opening seven fixtures. Without a league victory this campaign, having registered two draws and five defeats while scoring just five goals, the visitors face a demanding test. Their task is further complicated by a lengthy injury list that sidelines E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure, and S. Zagadou.

Historical clashes heavily lean toward the hosts, as Marseille have won all seven previous recorded meetings between the two sides. However, Marseille have experienced domestic inconsistency of their own, dropping two of their three home league games, which suggests caution remains prudent despite Le Havre's poor start.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Marseille have won all seven previous head-to-head meetings between the two sides.
  2. Le Havre are winless in Ligue 1 this season, collecting two draws and five defeats from seven matches.
  3. Le Havre are missing six first-team players through injury, including E. Jelert, T. Pembele, A. Toure, and S. Zagadou.
  4. A. Gouiri has supplied the primary attacking threat for Marseille with five league goals.
  5. Past encounters between these clubs average 4.14 goals per match, with over 2.5 goals occurring in six of the seven fixtures.
Availability

Team news

Marseille

  • D. CorneliusHip Injury
  • A. Koum MbondoIllness

Le Havre

  • E. JelertThigh Injury
  • F. MambimbiAchilles Tendon Injury
  • L. Mpasi-NzauAchilles Tendon Injury
  • T. PembeleMuscle Injury
  • A. ToureKnee Injury
  • S. ZagadouKnee Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Marseille at homeLe Havre away
3
Played
3
1-0-2
W-D-L
0-1-2
2.3
Scored /game
1
1.7
Conceded /game
1.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Marseille at home plus Le Havre away).

Players

Key players this season

Marseille

  • A. Gouiri5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
7Lorient7+111
8Nice8-211
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
12Toulouse7+19
13Auxerre7-69
15Angers7-67
16Le MansRelegation Playoffs7-56
17Estac TroyesRelegation7-114
18Le HavreRelegation7-62
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
7
Marseille
0
Draws
0
Le Havre

Marseille have won 7 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 4.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 71% of them.

  • 2026-05-10Le Havre0-1Marseille
  • 2025-10-18Marseille6-2Le Havre
  • 2025-05-10Le Havre1-3Marseille
  • 2025-01-05Marseille5-1Le Havre
  • 2024-05-19Le Havre1-2Marseille
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Marseille or Draw
78%
Confidence

Marseille possess a commanding historical record in this matchup, having won all seven previous encounters against Le Havre. The visitors enter this round winless through seven league fixtures with five defeats and only five goals scored, while conceding 11. Le Havre are also depleted by six defensive and midfield injuries, including A. Toure and T. Pembele. Although Marseille have been potent going forward with 14 league goals led by A. Gouiri's five strikes, they have also shown defensive frailties by conceding 10 times in seven games, including two losses in three home matches. Backing Marseille to avoid defeat accounts for their defensive lapses while respecting Le Havre's inability to secure three points this season.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.