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Thu 24 Sept · 17:00

Mauritania vs Central African Republic prediction

Follow Mauritania Follow Central African Republic Follow this match

Round: Group Stage - 1
Venue: Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Referee: T. Boubou

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Mauritania

81Excellent

Last 3 matches · 2W-1D-0L · +3 goal difference

Central African Republic

25Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Mauritania or Draw

BetGenius backs Mauritania or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Mauritania kick off their AFCON Qualification campaign against Central African Republic looking to continue their historically commanding record in this fixture. The hosts have established a strong baseline of competitive performances, having earned a 1-0 victory over Niger and a 1-1 draw with Angola in their recent outings.

Central African Republic arrive having experienced mixed fortunes in their recent competitive matches. While they secured a 3-2 away victory against Chad, they have also suffered heavy defeats including a 3-0 loss to Angola and a 5-0 defeat to Ghana, showing vulnerability in defence when travelling.

With Mauritania having won all four previous head-to-head encounters between the two nations, the hosts hold a significant psychological advantage. Combined with a typically low-scoring profile in these meetings, Mauritania look well placed to protect their home turf.

Analysis

Key factors

Mauritania have won all 4 recorded head-to-head meetings against Central African Republic.
Head-to-head encounters average only 1.75 goals per game, with 75 percent finishing under 2.5 goals.
Central African Republic have conceded 11 goals across their last five matches, including defeats of 3-0, 5-0, and 2-0.
Mauritania enter this match in steady form after a 1-0 win at Niger and a 1-1 draw against Angola.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Mauritania at homeCentral African Republic away

Played

1-0-0

W-D-L

0-0-1

—

Scored /game

—

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

BTTS (last 5)

60%

—

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

4
Mauritania: 0
Draws: 0
Central African Republic

Mauritania have won 4 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 1.8 goals a game, only 25% went over 2.5.

2025-08-09Central African Republic0-1Mauritania
2025-06-06Mauritania2-1Central African Republic
2021-03-30Central African Republic0-1Mauritania
2019-11-19Mauritania2-0Central African Republic

BetGenius

Our record in AFCON Qualification

64%49 won from 77 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Mauritania or Draw

78%

Confidence

Mauritania have a perfect record against Central African Republic across four head-to-head fixtures, winning each meeting by scores of 1-0, 2-1, 1-0, and 2-0. Central African Republic have struggled for consistency on their travels and suffered a 3-0 defeat away to Angola in their most recent outing. Mauritania recent stability, including an away win against Niger and a draw with Angola, makes them strongly favoured to take at least a point on home ground.

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