BetGenius

Middlesbrough vs West Brom prediction

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Kickoff
Sat, Aug 29, 11:30 AM
Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Referee
Paul Tierney, England

Recent form

Middlesbrough
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference

West Brom
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Middlesbrough or Draw + Yes
Confidence72%

BetGenius backs Middlesbrough or Draw + Yes (Combo Bet) at 72% confidence — a solid call.

Match preview

Middlesbrough welcome West Brom to the Riverside Stadium in round three of the Championship season. West Brom have enjoyed a perfect start to their league campaign, collecting six points from two matches with a 2-1 away victory at Norwich and a 3-1 home win over Burnley. Their attacking unit has been lively, registering five goals across two fixtures led by I. Price with two goals and J. Morgan with two assists, though they will be without the suspended A. Heggebo and injured M. Johnston.

Middlesbrough sit on three points after a 2-1 home victory over Lincoln and a 2-1 defeat at Blackburn. Despite that setback, the hosts carry notable historical momentum into this fixture, having won each of the last five head-to-head encounters against West Brom, including a 3-2 away win in January 2026 and a 2-1 home triumph in September 2025. At home against the Baggies, Middlesbrough remain unbeaten across their last five meetings with four wins and one draw.

With both sides scoring in every competitive match this season and neither team keeping a clean sheet across their opening two league fixtures, an open contest is anticipated.

Team news

Middlesbrough

  • J. SarmientoInactive

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

West Brom

  • M. JohnstonBroken Leg

Statistical comparison

Middlesbrough at home vs West Brom away
1
Played
2
1-0-0
W-D-L
1-0-1
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Key players this season

Middlesbrough

  • W. Lankshear5G

West Brom

  • J. Morgan2G · 2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1West HamPromotion - Premier League6+511
2SwanseaPromotion - Premier League6+411
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)5+310
4QPRPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)5+310
5Bristol CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5+210
6West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5+210
7CharltonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5-110
8MillwallPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5+29
9Sheffield Utd609

Head-to-head

Full record →
Middlesbrough
7
Draws
1
West Brom
2

Middlesbrough have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-29Middlesbrough 3-1 West Brom
  • 2026-01-16West Brom 2-3 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-09-19Middlesbrough 2-1 West Brom
  • 2025-01-21Middlesbrough 2-0 West Brom
  • 2024-10-01West Brom 0-1 Middlesbrough

Our record in Championship

63%52 won from 82 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Middlesbrough or Draw + Yes
Confidence72%

Middlesbrough or Draw — 72% confidence

Middlesbrough have dominated this specific fixture in recent seasons, winning the last five head-to-head clashes against West Brom. Across five previous home meetings against the Baggies, Middlesbrough are unbeaten with four wins and one draw. Covering both the home victory and the draw provides a solid probabilistic position against an in-form West Brom side.

Yes — 76% confidence

Both teams have scored in 100% of their Championship fixtures this season. Middlesbrough have scored three and conceded three across two matches (averaging 1.5 goals for and against per game), while West Brom have scored five and conceded two across their two games (averaging 2.5 goals scored per game). Furthermore, neither side has kept a clean sheet this season, and 60% of their last 10 head-to-head encounters have seen both teams find the net.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Middlesbrough or Draw
Confidence72%

Middlesbrough have dominated this specific fixture in recent seasons, winning the last five head-to-head clashes against West Brom. Across five previous home meetings against the Baggies, Middlesbrough are unbeaten with four wins and one draw. Covering both the home victory and the draw provides a solid probabilistic position against an in-form West Brom side.

Combo BetWON
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence76%

Both teams have scored in 100% of their Championship fixtures this season. Middlesbrough have scored three and conceded three across two matches (averaging 1.5 goals for and against per game), while West Brom have scored five and conceded two across their two games (averaging 2.5 goals scored per game). Furthermore, neither side has kept a clean sheet this season, and 60% of their last 10 head-to-head encounters have seen both teams find the net.

More from BetGenius

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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.