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- Round
- Regular Season - 6
- Venue
- Stade Louis II, Monaco
- Referee
- Ruddy Buquet, France
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Form
Recent form
Monaco
68Strong
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +5 goal difference
Toulouse
62Average
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
Monaco or Draw
BetGenius backs Monaco or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
77%
Confidence
Strong
Preview
Match preview
League leaders Monaco welcome 13th-placed Toulouse to the Stade Louis II in round six of the Ligue 1 campaign. Monaco have enjoyed an impressive opening stretch to the season, collecting 13 points from an available 15 with four victories and one draw. Their home record remains immaculate following successive victories over Marseille and Lens, built on an organised defence that has conceded just three goals across five matches.
Toulouse enter the fixture seeking stability after an inconsistent start yielding five points from five matches. While they have struggled for defensive solidity, conceding nine goals so far, they have managed to score in each of their away fixtures, recording 2-2 draws at both Stade Brestois 29 and Lorient. However, their inability to keep a clean sheet leaves them vulnerable against top-tier opposition.
Monaco face selection challenges with key forward Paris Josua Brunner serving a suspension alongside injuries to Ansu Fati, Mamadou Coulibaly, and Sebastien Idumbo. Despite those offensive absences, the hosts boast the defensive structure and baseline consistency needed to command the flow of this contest.
Analysis
Key factors
- Monaco sit top of Ligue 1 with 13 points from five matches, having won both of their home fixtures.
- Toulouse have failed to record a clean sheet in all five league matches this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game.
- Monaco's defence has conceded only three goals all season, averaging 0.5 goals conceded per home game.
- Toulouse have drawn both of their away league matches by 2-2 scorelines.
- Monaco will be without primary goalscorer Paris Josua Brunner due to suspension.
Availability
Team news
Monaco
- E. DierMuscle Injury
- S. IdumboGroin Injury
Toulouse
- M. NifloreInjury
- S. OppongCalf Injury
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Monaco at homeToulouse away
3
Played
4
2-1-0
W-D-L
1-3-0
2
Scored /game
2.3
1
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%
Combined scoring rate: 4.3 goals per game (Monaco at home plus Toulouse away).
Players
Key players this season
Monaco
- Paris Josua Brunner4G
- A. Golovin3A
Toulouse
- C. Tengstedt5G
- C. Cásseres5A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Paris Saint GermainChampions League league stage | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FCChampions League league stage | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | LilleQualifying | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | MonacoEuropa League league stage | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | RennesPlay-offs | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nice | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Lens | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | -6 | 7 |
History
Head-to-head
- 4
- Monaco
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Toulouse
Monaco have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.
- 2026-10-10Monaco2-2Toulouse
- 2026-04-25Toulouse2-2Monaco
- 2025-10-25Monaco1-0Toulouse
- 2025-03-07Toulouse1-1Monaco
- 2024-12-07Monaco2-0Toulouse
BetGenius
Our record in Ligue 1
53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
2 published markets
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FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Monaco or Draw
77%
Confidence
Monaco are unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season with four wins and one draw, including two wins from two home fixtures. Toulouse have yet to win on the road, drawing both away matches 2-2 while conceding nine goals across their five games overall. While the absence of suspended top scorer Paris Josua Brunner slightly dampens Monaco's finishing power, their defensive concession rate of only 0.6 goals per game provides a very reliable platform to take points at home.
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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.