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Mon 19 Oct · 17:30

Monza vs Cagliari prediction

Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Stadio Brianteo, Monza
Referee
Andrea Calzavara
Form

Recent form

Monza
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Cagliari
55Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Cagliari or Draw

BetGenius backs Cagliari or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Monza welcome Cagliari to the U-Power Stadium for matchday seven of the Serie A season, with both sides experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. Monza sit sixteenth in the table with four points from six matches, hampered by defensive instability that has seen them concede fifteen goals across those fixtures without keeping a single clean sheet.

Cagliari enter this contest occupying fifth place on thirteen points, having built their positive run on disciplined defending and clinical performances on the road. The visitors have won all three of their away league games so far, conceding just once across trips that included victories at Atalanta and Udinese.

Monza will also have to navigate multiple squad absences, including suspension for L. Lucchesi and injuries to key figures such as M. Pessina and O. Forson. Given Cagliari's defensive record and their perfect road return to date, the visitors hold a notable structural edge heading into this matchup.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Cagliari have won all three of their away Serie A matches this season, conceding just one goal.
  2. Monza have failed to record a clean sheet in six league matches, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game.
  3. Cagliari have conceded only three goals across their six league matches to date.
  4. Monza are missing five players through injury and suspension, including midfielder M. Pessina and defender L. Lucchesi.
  5. Cagliari took maximum points from the last two league meetings between the clubs, winning 3-0 and 2-1.
Availability

Team news

Monza

  • Y. MayeMuscle Injury
  • M. PessinaKnee Injury
  • J. ZiolkowskiFoot Injury

Cagliari

  • Riyad IdrissiJumpers Knee
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Monza at homeCagliari away
3
Played
4
2-0-1
W-D-L
3-0-1
2.7
Scored /game
1
1.3
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Monza at home plus Cagliari away).

Players

Key players this season

Monza

  • Gustavo Varela6G

Cagliari

  • D. Maldini4G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
6FrosinonePlay-offs7+413
7Torino8+213
8Cagliari7-113
9Juventus7+111
10Napoli7+310
11Atalanta7-19
12Lecce7-39
13Sassuolo7-28
14Monza8-37
15Bologna7-45
16Udinese7-74
17Genoa7-84
History

Head-to-head

1
Monza
1
Draws
2
Cagliari

Cagliari have won 2 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game.

  • 2025-03-30Cagliari3-0Monza
  • 2025-01-05Monza1-2Cagliari
  • 2024-03-16Monza1-0Cagliari
  • 2023-11-26Cagliari1-1Monza
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

69%81 won from 117 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Cagliari or Draw
76%
Confidence

Cagliari have maintained an unblemished away record in Serie A this season with three wins from three games, allowing only one goal in that span. In contrast, Monza have conceded fifteen goals in six league fixtures and remain without a clean sheet. With five players ruled out for the hosts and Cagliari already having won the previous two head-to-head encounters between the sides, backing the visitors to secure at least a point represents the most measured outcome.

GoalsWON
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Confidence

Monza's six league fixtures this season have produced a total of twenty-four goals, averaging four goals per match. They have scored in every game and conceded in every game, failing to keep a clean sheet across six outings. Cagliari have scored in all three of their away matches and enter this fixture having collected nine points from nine on the road. While Monza's defensive record indicates goals at both ends, Cagliari have conceded only three times in six matches, keeping three clean sheets. Four of Cagliari's six matches have featured two or fewer goals, which provides strong backing for two goals to be scored but makes relying on a third goal against their disciplined defence considerably less secure.

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Published October 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.