BetGenius
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 02:30 PM
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
Referee
Gustavo Fernandes Correia

Recent form

Nacional
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -4 goal difference

Famalicao
39Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Famalicao or Draw
Confidence72%

BetGenius backs Famalicao or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Nacional welcome Famalicao to Madeira in a Primeira Liga encounter between two sides tied on four points near the bottom of the table. Nacional enter the contest on a four-match losing streak, having conceded eight goals across their last five matches, including a 3-1 home defeat to Alverca.

Famalicao are still searching for their first league victory of the campaign but have proved difficult to beat in recent weeks. They have put together three consecutive draws, highlighted by a 1-1 result against Sporting CP and a 2-2 draw away at Estrela.

Recent head-to-head meetings also favour the visitors, with Famalicao winning each of the last two encounters between these sides by a 1-0 margin. Given the current momentum of both teams, Famalicao appear well placed to take something from this fixture.

Key factors

  • Nacional have lost four consecutive matches in all competitions.
  • Famalicao are undefeated in their last three games, recording three straight draws.
  • Famalicao won the last two head-to-head meetings against Nacional, both by 1-0 scorelines.
  • Both teams sit level on four points in 13th and 15th position in the Primeira Liga standings.

Statistical comparison

Nacional at home vs Famalicao away
2
Played
3
1-0-1
W-D-L
0-2-1
Scored /game
1
Conceded /game
1.3
Clean sheets
Failed to score
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
10Maritimo6-47
11Moreirense6-67
12Alverca6-35
13Famalicao6-24
14Vitória SC6-34
15Nacional6-44
16Rio AveLiga Portugal (Relegation)6-94
17EstorilRelegation - Liga Portugal 26-62
18Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 26-141

Head-to-head

Full record →
Nacional
3
Draws
1
Famalicao
4

Famalicao have won 4 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, 63% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-21Famalicao 1-0 Nacional
  • 2025-11-01Nacional 0-1 Famalicao
  • 2025-03-01Nacional 2-1 Famalicao
  • 2024-09-29Famalicao 0-0 Nacional
  • 2021-05-16Famalicao 3-0 Nacional

Our record in Primeira Liga

74%31 won from 42 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

Featured
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Famalicao or Draw
Confidence72%

Nacional have lost four matches in a row, conceding eight goals across their five games this season. Famalicao, while winless, have shown defensive stability by remaining unbeaten across their last three matches, including a 1-1 draw against Sporting CP. Additionally, Famalicao won both of the last two meetings between these clubs by 1-0 scorelines, indicating they match up well against Nacional.

More from BetGenius

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.