Neftchi Baku won their opening league match 3-1 and have taken victories in their last two head-to-head meetings against Araz (2-1 and 4-0). With four draws across the last 10 head-to-head encounters and Araz opening their season with a low-scoring 0-0 draw, backing Neftchi Baku on the Double Chance provides a well-calibrated, high-probability position.
Neftchi Baku vs Araz prediction
Checking status…Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +5 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongBetGenius backs Neftchi Baku or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Neftchi Baku enter their first home league fixture of the Premyer Liqa campaign on the back of an encouraging start, having secured a 3-1 away victory over Sumqayıt. That result placed them third in the standings after the opening round, showcasing a sharp attacking display.
Araz opened their league season with a 0-0 draw at home against Imisli FK, placing them seventh in the table with one point. Their solid defensive baseline from that outing will be tested against a Neftchi side that has won the last two head-to-head encounters between the clubs, including a 2-1 home victory and a 4-0 away win earlier in 2026.
While historical head-to-head records across 10 meetings remain evenly balanced with 3 wins each and 4 draws, Neftchi Baku hold the edge in recent form and home advantage.
Key factors
- Neftchi Baku started their Premyer Liqa season with a 3-1 away win at Sumqayıt.
- Araz played out a 0-0 draw against Imisli FK in their league opener.
- Neftchi Baku have won the last two head-to-head fixtures against Araz by scores of 2-1 and 4-0.
- Across 10 head-to-head meetings, 4 matches have ended in draws.
- Neftchi Baku have lost only 1 of 6 home matches against Araz in their head-to-head history.
Statistical comparison
Neftchi Baku at home vs Araz awayTable context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FAPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 | ZiraPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | QarabagPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Neftchi Baku | 4 | +9 | 9 |
| 5 | Turan | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Şamaxı FK | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 | Qabala | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Kapaz | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | ArazPremier League (Relegation) | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 12 | SumqayıtRelegation - I Liqa | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Neftchi Baku have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.
- 2026-08-23Neftchi Baku 5-0 Araz
- 2026-04-11Neftchi Baku 2-1 Araz
- 2026-02-01Araz 0-4 Neftchi Baku
- 2025-10-19Neftchi Baku 2-2 Araz
- 2025-03-29Neftchi Baku 1-1 Araz
1 published market
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All Premyer Liqa predictions →Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.