BetGenius

Neftchi Baku vs Araz prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 23, 04:45 PM
Round
Regular Season - 2
Venue
Palms Sports Arena, Baku
Referee
R. Ahmadov

Recent form

Neftchi Baku
60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +5 goal difference

Araz
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Neftchi Baku or Draw
Confidence78%

BetGenius backs Neftchi Baku or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Neftchi Baku enter their first home league fixture of the Premyer Liqa campaign on the back of an encouraging start, having secured a 3-1 away victory over Sumqayıt. That result placed them third in the standings after the opening round, showcasing a sharp attacking display.

Araz opened their league season with a 0-0 draw at home against Imisli FK, placing them seventh in the table with one point. Their solid defensive baseline from that outing will be tested against a Neftchi side that has won the last two head-to-head encounters between the clubs, including a 2-1 home victory and a 4-0 away win earlier in 2026.

While historical head-to-head records across 10 meetings remain evenly balanced with 3 wins each and 4 draws, Neftchi Baku hold the edge in recent form and home advantage.

Key factors

  • Neftchi Baku started their Premyer Liqa season with a 3-1 away win at Sumqayıt.
  • Araz played out a 0-0 draw against Imisli FK in their league opener.
  • Neftchi Baku have won the last two head-to-head fixtures against Araz by scores of 2-1 and 4-0.
  • Across 10 head-to-head meetings, 4 matches have ended in draws.
  • Neftchi Baku have lost only 1 of 6 home matches against Araz in their head-to-head history.

Statistical comparison

Neftchi Baku at home vs Araz away
1
Played
1
1-0-0
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
40%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Sabah FAPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)3+89
2ZiraPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)409
3QarabagPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)3+49
4Neftchi Baku4+99
5Turan4+17
6Şamaxı FK4+15
7Qabala4-14
8Imisli FK4-24
9Kapaz3-43
10Safa Baku4-53
11ArazPremier League (Relegation)4-71
12SumqayıtRelegation - I Liqa3-40

Head-to-head

Full record →
Neftchi Baku
4
Draws
3
Araz
3

Neftchi Baku have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-23Neftchi Baku 5-0 Araz
  • 2026-04-11Neftchi Baku 2-1 Araz
  • 2026-02-01Araz 0-4 Neftchi Baku
  • 2025-10-19Neftchi Baku 2-2 Araz
  • 2025-03-29Neftchi Baku 1-1 Araz

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Neftchi Baku or Draw
Confidence78%

Neftchi Baku won their opening league match 3-1 and have taken victories in their last two head-to-head meetings against Araz (2-1 and 4-0). With four draws across the last 10 head-to-head encounters and Araz opening their season with a low-scoring 0-0 draw, backing Neftchi Baku on the Double Chance provides a well-calibrated, high-probability position.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.