BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 2
Venue
Palms Sports Arena, Baku
Referee
R. Ahmadov
Form

Recent form

Neftchi Baku
79Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +10 goal difference

Araz
15Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Neftchi Baku or Draw

BetGenius backs Neftchi Baku or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Neftchi Baku enter their first home league fixture of the Premyer Liqa campaign on the back of an encouraging start, having secured a 3-1 away victory over Sumqayıt. That result placed them third in the standings after the opening round, showcasing a sharp attacking display.

Araz opened their league season with a 0-0 draw at home against Imisli FK, placing them seventh in the table with one point. Their solid defensive baseline from that outing will be tested against a Neftchi side that has won the last two head-to-head encounters between the clubs, including a 2-1 home victory and a 4-0 away win earlier in 2026.

While historical head-to-head records across 10 meetings remain evenly balanced with 3 wins each and 4 draws, Neftchi Baku hold the edge in recent form and home advantage.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Neftchi Baku started their Premyer Liqa season with a 3-1 away win at Sumqayıt.
  2. Araz played out a 0-0 draw against Imisli FK in their league opener.
  3. Neftchi Baku have won the last two head-to-head fixtures against Araz by scores of 2-1 and 4-0.
  4. Across 10 head-to-head meetings, 4 matches have ended in draws.
  5. Neftchi Baku have lost only 1 of 6 home matches against Araz in their head-to-head history.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Neftchi Baku at homeAraz away
2
Played
4
2-0-0
W-D-L
0-0-4
—
Scored /game
1
—
Conceded /game
3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Sabah FAPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)7+1719
2Neftchi BakuPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+1317
3QarabagPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)7+717
4Turan8+214
5Şamaxı FK8+313
9Imisli FK8-67
10Qabala8-124
11Safa BakuPremier League (Relegation)8-113
12ArazRelegation - I Liqa8-112
History

Head-to-head

4
Neftchi Baku
3
Draws
3
Araz

Neftchi Baku have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-23Neftchi Baku5-0Araz
  • 2026-04-11Neftchi Baku2-1Araz
  • 2026-02-01Araz0-4Neftchi Baku
  • 2025-10-19Neftchi Baku2-2Araz
  • 2025-03-29Neftchi Baku1-1Araz
BetGenius

Our record in Premyer Liqa

72%28 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Neftchi Baku or Draw
78%
Confidence

Neftchi Baku won their opening league match 3-1 and have taken victories in their last two head-to-head meetings against Araz (2-1 and 4-0). With four draws across the last 10 head-to-head encounters and Araz opening their season with a low-scoring 0-0 draw, backing Neftchi Baku on the Double Chance provides a well-calibrated, high-probability position.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.