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Sun 4 Oct · 19:45

Netherlands vs Serbia prediction

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Round: League A - 4
Venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Referee: Donatas Rumsas, Lithuania

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Netherlands

65Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +3 goal difference

Serbia

6Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -11 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Netherlands or Draw

BetGenius backs Netherlands or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Netherlands host Serbia in League A of the UEFA Nations League, looking to build on their positive start to the campaign. The Dutch side remain unbeaten in the group with one victory and two draws from three matches, including a 2-1 away victory over Serbia in their previous outing on 27 September.

Serbia travel to the Netherlands on the back of a difficult run of form, having suffered defeats in each of their opening three group fixtures. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Serbia have recorded four losses and conceded 13 goals in that span.

With Netherlands averaging 1.7 goals scored per game in the competition and Serbia conceding an average of 2.0 goals per match, the hosts hold the upper hand as they look to maintain their momentum on home soil.

Analysis

Key factors

Netherlands defeated Serbia 2-1 in their previous Nations League fixture on 27 September 2026.
Serbia have lost all three of their UEFA Nations League matches in the current campaign, conceding two goals in each game.
Netherlands are undefeated in their last five matches across all competitions with three wins and two draws.
Serbia have suffered four consecutive defeats in their last five matches, conceding 13 goals during that period.
Netherlands have scored in every match of their current Nations League campaign, averaging 1.7 goals per game.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Netherlands at homeSerbia away

Played

0-1-0

W-D-L

0-0-1

—

Scored /game

—

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

100%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

1
Netherlands: 0
Draws: 0
Serbia

Netherlands have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

2026-09-27Serbia1-2Netherlands

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Netherlands or Draw

78%

Confidence

Netherlands enter this match unbeaten across their last five fixtures in all competitions, having collected three wins and two draws while scoring 12 goals. They already secured a 2-1 away win against Serbia on 27 September and have scored in every fixture in this Nations League campaign. Conversely, Serbia have lost three consecutive Nations League matches, conceding six goals across those fixtures and failing to keep a clean sheet. Covering the home win or draw provides strong alignment with both teams current form trajectories.

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