BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 27
Venue
Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
Referee
Rubiel Vazquez, USA
Form

Recent form

New York Red Bulls
61Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

St. Louis City
98Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +14 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
St. Louis City or Draw

BetGenius backs St. Louis City or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

New York Red Bulls host St. Louis City in Major League Soccer regular season action, with both clubs carrying contrasting recent momentum. The Red Bulls enter the contest having secured two consecutive 1-0 away victories over Columbus Crew and New York City FC, though their broader season record shows 9 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats with 48 goals conceded in 26 matches. At home, they have won four of 12 fixtures while conceding an average of 1.9 goals per match.

St. Louis City arrive positioned fifth in the standings on 44 points, demonstrating potent attacking form in recent weeks. The visitors are unbeaten across their last five matches, recording four victories and one draw while netting 15 goals during that stretch. Their away record stands balanced at four wins, five draws, and four losses through 13 road games.

Squad availability presents a significant challenge for the hosts, who have eight players absent on international duty and three sidelined through injury. St. Louis City will look to exploit these defensive adjustments and leverage their sharp attacking output to secure points on the road.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. St. Louis City have scored 15 goals across their last five fixtures, winning four and drawing one.
  2. New York Red Bulls are missing 11 players through international duty and injury.
  3. New York Red Bulls have conceded an average of 1.9 goals per match at home this season.
  4. St. Louis City have avoided defeat in nine of their 13 away matches in the league.
Availability

Team news

New York Red Bulls

  • A. MarcucciKnee Injury

Team news last updated Oct 14 (10 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

St. Louis City

  • Celio PompeuKnee Injury
  • K. HiebertHip Injury

Team news last updated Oct 15 (9 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

New York Red Bulls at homeSt. Louis City away
14
Played
14
5-3-6
W-D-L
5-5-4
1.6
Scored /game
1.4
1.9
Conceded /game
1.4
7%
Clean sheets
14%
36%
Failed to score
21%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (New York Red Bulls at home plus St. Louis City away).

Players

Key players this season

St. Louis City

  • Rafael Navarro18G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+3255
2St. Louis CityPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+1551
3FC DallasPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+851
4San Jose EarthquakesPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+1048
5Houston DynamoPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+247
History

Head-to-head

1
New York Red Bulls
1
Draws
1
St. Louis City

the last 3 meetings are split 1-1 with 1 drawn.

  • 2026-01-24New York Red Bulls3-1St. Louis City
  • 2025-01-29New York Red Bulls0-1St. Louis City
  • 2024-02-10St. Louis City2-2New York Red Bulls
BetGenius

Our record in Major League Soccer

68%19 won from 28 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
St. Louis City or Draw
74%
Confidence

St. Louis City have produced strong attacking displays recently, scoring 15 goals across their last five matches with four wins and a draw. In contrast, New York Red Bulls face major squad selection hurdles with 11 players listed as unavailable due to international call-ups and injuries. Given that the hosts have conceded 23 goals across 12 home matches and St. Louis City have avoided defeat in nine of their 13 away games, the visitors are well positioned to take at least a point.

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Published September 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.