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Sun 11 Oct · 14:00

Nice vs Strasbourg prediction

Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Referee
Jeremie Pignard, France
Form

Recent form

Nice
50Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Strasbourg
26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Nice or Draw

BetGenius backs Nice or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Nice welcome Strasbourg to the Allianz Riviera for round six of the Ligue 1 campaign, aiming to build on a resilient home foundation. The hosts sit 14th in the table with five points from five matches, having endured mixed fortunes on the road while remaining undefeated on home turf with one victory and two draws.

Strasbourg travel south in eighth position with seven points, showing sharp attacking threat alongside clear defensive vulnerabilities. Across their five league outings, they have scored 10 goals and conceded 10, failing to record a single clean sheet. Their away matches have been volatile, featuring a 6-2 victory at Estac Troyes alongside defeats to Marseille and Paris FC.

Head-to-head history favours the hosts in this setting, as Nice have avoided defeat in their last four home encounters against Strasbourg. With Nice conceding only twice in three home games this season and Strasbourg showing persistent defensive lapses on the road, Nice are positioned well to claim at least a point.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Nice remain unbeaten at home in Ligue 1 this season with one win and two draws, conceding only two goals across three matches.
  2. Strasbourg have failed to record a clean sheet in any of their five league matches, conceding ten goals overall and eight in three away fixtures.
  3. Nice are undefeated across their last four home head-to-head encounters with Strasbourg, recording two wins and two draws.
  4. Strasbourg have lost two of their three away league matches this season, suffering defeats against Marseille and Paris FC.
  5. Nice won the most recent encounter between the two clubs, securing a 2-0 victory in the Coupe de France in April 2026.
Availability

Team news

Nice

  • A. AbdiMuscle Injury
  • L. AbergelKnee Injury
  • M. BombitoLeg Injury
  • A. MendyKnee Injury

Strasbourg

  • J. PanichelliKnee Injury
  • F. BaldeLeg Injury
  • S. NanasiInjury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Nice at homeStrasbourg away
4
Played
4
2-2-0
W-D-L
1-0-3
1.3
Scored /game
2
0.8
Conceded /game
2.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
100%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Nice at home plus Strasbourg away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5MonacoEuropa League league stage7+414
6RennesPlay-offs7+113
7Lorient7+111
8Nice8-211
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
12Toulouse7+19
13Auxerre7-69
14Strasbourg7-37
15Angers7-67
16Le MansRelegation Playoffs7-56
17Estac TroyesRelegation7-114
History

Head-to-head

5
Nice
3
Draws
2
Strasbourg

Nice have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-10-11Nice2-1Strasbourg
  • 2026-04-22Strasbourg0-2Nice
  • 2026-04-04Strasbourg3-1Nice
  • 2026-01-03Nice1-1Strasbourg
  • 2025-04-12Strasbourg2-2Nice
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Nice or Draw
72%
Confidence

Nice have maintained a steady baseline at home, posting one win and two draws while conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game. Their recent 2-1 victory over Lille demonstrates their capacity to compete against strong opposition on their own ground. In addition, across the ten-match head-to-head sample, Nice have avoided defeat in eight meetings, including all four played at home.

Strasbourg have displayed major defensive frailties, conceding 2.7 goals per game away from home and remaining without a clean sheet in all five matches this season. While Strasbourg possess attacking output, Nice's structured setup has limited chances at home. Given Strasbourg's defensive concession rate and Nice's steady home floor, backing Nice to win or draw represents a well-founded position.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.