BetGenius

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds prediction

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Kickoff
Tue, Aug 25, 07:00 PM
Round
Round of 64
Venue
City Ground, Nottingham
Referee
A. Kitchen

Recent form

Nottingham Forest
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Leeds
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +7 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Leeds or Draw
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Leeds or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Nottingham Forest host Leeds in the Round of 64 of the EFL Cup, just three days after the two sides met at the City Ground in league action. In that previous encounter on August 22, Leeds came away with a 1-0 away victory, extending their impressive run of recent form.

Leeds enter this cup tie unbeaten across their last five recorded fixtures, claiming four victories—including wins over Liverpool (4-2), RB Leipzig (2-0), and FC Augsburg (4-0)—alongside a 1-1 draw with Manchester United and their weekend triumph against Forest. Despite injuries to W. Gnonto, G. Gudmundsson, and M. Joseph, the visitors have maintained strong defensive stability and clinical finishing.

Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, have shown mixed form across their last five outings with two wins and three defeats. Crucially, they have been held scoreless in all three of those losses, including the recent 0-1 defeat to Leeds and 0-1 results against Barcelona and Udinese. With N. Savona and R. Yates sidelined through injury, Forest face a challenging task in reversing the weekend's result in quick succession.

Key factors

  • Leeds defeated Nottingham Forest 1-0 at the City Ground just three days prior on August 22.
  • Leeds are unbeaten in their last five fixtures, winning four and drawing one.
  • Nottingham Forest have failed to score in three of their last five recorded matches.
  • Leeds have won the two most recent head-to-head encounters (1-0 away in August 2026 and 3-1 home in February 2026).
  • Availability concerns affect both sides, with Forest missing N. Savona and R. Yates, while Leeds are without W. Gnonto, G. Gudmundsson, and M. Joseph.

Team news

Nottingham Forest

  • I. SangareCalf Injury
  • N. SavonaKnee Injury

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Leeds

  • I. GruevKnee Injury
  • M. JosephKnee Injury
  • J. RodonMuscle Injury

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Statistical comparison

Nottingham Forest at home vs Leeds away
1
Played
1
0-0-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Head-to-head

Full record →
Nottingham Forest
4
Draws
1
Leeds
4

the last 9 meetings are split 4-4 with 1 drawn, averaging 2.8 goals a game.

  • 2026-08-22Nottingham Forest 0-1 Leeds
  • 2026-02-06Leeds 3-1 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-11-09Nottingham Forest 3-1 Leeds
  • 2023-07-27Nottingham Forest 0-2 Leeds
  • 2023-04-04Leeds 2-1 Nottingham Forest

Our record in EFL Cup

69%22 won from 32 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Leeds or Draw
Confidence74%

Leeds enter this knockout clash on a five-match unbeaten streak across all competitions, having just defeated Nottingham Forest 1-0 at the City Ground on August 22. Forest have failed to score in three of their last five matches, and backing Leeds to avoid defeat in regulation provides a robust position given recent form and head-to-head momentum.

More from BetGenius

Our previous calls on this fixture

Other EFL Cup predictions

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.