Ordabasy have been exceptionally reliable on home soil this campaign, posting an undefeated record of 11 wins and two draws with 27 goals scored and only eight conceded. Conversely, FC Astana have found away fixtures challenging, claiming victory in just two of their 11 away games and failing to score in five of them. With Ordabasy avoiding defeat in every home match so far and taking points in their last two head-to-head encounters with Astana, backing the home side to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes.
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +9 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +8 goal difference
Our verdict
StrongBetGenius backs Ordabasy or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Ordabasy host FC Astana in a pivotal top-three clash in the Premier League. The hosts sit second in the table with 55 points from 24 matches, trailing the league leaders by two points. Ordabasy have established formidable form on their own ground, remaining unbeaten at home with 11 wins and two draws while conceding only eight goals across 13 home fixtures.
FC Astana enter the contest in third place on 45 points with a game in hand. While their home record matches Ordabasy with 11 victories, their performances on the road have been far more vulnerable. Astana have managed only two wins from 11 away league outings, drawing five and losing four, while conceding 16 goals.
The previous encounter between the sides in April 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw in Astana, following a 1-0 home victory for Ordabasy in their 2025 meeting. With Ordabasy aiming to maintain their title push and protecting an undefeated home record, they hold a distinct positional edge over an Astana side that frequently drops points away from home.
Key factors
- Ordabasy are undefeated in all 13 home league matches this season, recording 11 wins and two draws.
- FC Astana have won just two of their 11 away league games, drawing five and losing four.
- Ordabasy have conceded an average of only 0.6 goals per game at home across 13 fixtures.
- FC Astana have failed to score in five of their 11 away matches this season.
- The two most recent meetings between the sides produced a 1-0 win for Ordabasy at home and a 1-1 draw in Astana.
Statistical comparison
Ordabasy at home vs FC Astana awayCombined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Ordabasy at home plus FC Astana away).
Key players this season
Ordabasy
- Léo Natel3G
FC Astana
- B. Kalaica1G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat AlmatyQualifying | 24 | +35 | 57 |
| 2 | OrdabasyQualifying | 24 | +29 | 55 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 23 | +17 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 24 | +5 | 42 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 24 | +6 | 38 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 23 | -1 | 32 |
Head-to-head
Full record →FC Astana have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.
- 2026-04-11FC Astana 1-1 Ordabasy
- 2025-07-13Ordabasy 1-0 FC Astana
- 2025-04-05FC Astana 2-1 Ordabasy
- 2024-09-22Ordabasy 2-4 FC Astana
- 2024-06-16FC Astana 0-1 Ordabasy
Our record in Premier League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.