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Mon 19 Oct · 16:00

Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 6
Venue: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Paphos
Referee: Chrysovalantis Theouli

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Pafos

46Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Apoel Nicosia

56Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Apoel Nicosia or Draw

BetGenius backs Apoel Nicosia or Draw (Double Chance) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

64%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Pafos have struggled to find the net at home, recording no goals in their two most recent home fixtures and averaging zero goals per game at home this season. In contrast, Apoel Nicosia have been prolific when playing at home, scoring four goals per game on average and winning both of their recent home outings. Historically Pafos enjoy a good record against Apoel at their own ground, winning three of the last four meetings, but the current form and scoring trends favour the visitors. The league average of 3.08 goals per game and the head‑to‑head sample of 2.2 goals per match suggest a relatively tight encounter, with only 20% of past meetings going over 2.5 goals.

Analysis

Key factors

Pafos have scored zero goals in their last two home games
Apoel average four goals per game at home this season
Head‑to‑head favors Pafos at home (3‑1 record in last four meetings)
Only 20% of the last ten meetings between the clubs have gone over 2.5 goals
Apoel concede 2.3 goals per game away while Pafos concede only 0.3 away, highlighting defensive contrast

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Pafos at homeApoel Nicosia away

Played

1-0-0

W-D-L

0-1-2

—

Scored /game

1.3

—

Conceded /game

2.3

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

40%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

100%

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	AEK LarnacaPromotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)	6	+6	13
3	Omonia NicosiaPromotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)	6	+9	12
4	Apollon LimassolPromotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)	6	+6	12
5	PafosPromotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)	6	+4	11
6	ArisPromotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)	6	-1	9
7	Apoel NicosiaCyprus League (Relegation Group)	6	+4	8
8	Omonia 29is MaiouCyprus League (Relegation Group)	6	+2	8
9	Omonia AradippouCyprus League (Relegation Group)	6	-2	6
10	OlympiakosCyprus League (Relegation Group)	6	-1	5

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

5
Pafos: 4
Draws: 1
Apoel Nicosia

Pafos have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

2026-10-19Pafos0-0Apoel Nicosia
2026-05-22Pafos2-0Apoel Nicosia
2026-04-26Apoel Nicosia3-3Pafos
2026-02-04Pafos2-0Apoel Nicosia
2025-08-31Apoel Nicosia0-1Pafos

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Apoel Nicosia or Draw

64%

Confidence

Apoel’s strong home scoring (average 4.0 goals) and Pafos’ inability to score at home point to a likely Apoel advantage, yet Pafos have a favourable head‑to‑head record that keeps a draw or narrow home win plausible. The combined probability of an Apoel win or a draw is judged to be around sixty‑four percent, making the away‑or‑draw double chance the safest supported market. The low over‑2.5 rate in their past ten meetings (20%) and the league’s modest scoring suggest the match will stay under 2.5 goals.

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