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Sat 22 Aug · 19:45

Parma vs Cagliari prediction

Round
Regular Season - 1
Venue
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Referee
Daniele Perenzoni, Italy
Form

Recent form

Parma
25Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -6 goal difference

Cagliari
55Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Cagliari or Draw

BetGenius backs Cagliari or Draw (Double Chance) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Parma host Cagliari at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in this Serie A clash, with both sides looking to make an early statement. The hosts head into this encounter following a mixed run in recent matches, recording one win, three draws, and one defeat across their last five outings, most recently securing a 2-0 home victory against Catania.

Cagliari enter the fixture in resilient form, having gone unbeaten across their previous five matches with two wins and three draws. Notably, the Sardinian outfit showed defensive stability by recording clean sheets in four of those five games, including a 1-0 win over Arezzo and goalless stalemates against Nice and Sampdoria.

Historically, Cagliari have held the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning five of the last ten encounters while Parma have secured just one victory alongside four draws. The most recent clash between the two sides in February 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw at Parma's ground.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Cagliari are unbeaten in their last 5 fixtures (2 wins, 3 draws).
  2. Cagliari kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  3. Parma have won only 1 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings against Cagliari.
  4. 3 of the last 5 meetings hosted by Parma ended in draws, including a 1-1 result in February 2026.
  5. Parma have missing personnel with S. Britschgi suspended and H. Nicolussi Caviglia out with a muscle injury.
Availability

Team news

Parma

  • P. AlmqvistCalf Injury
  • H. Nicolussi CavigliaThigh Injury
  • N. ElphegeIllness
  • L. ValentiCoach's decision

Cagliari

  • Riyad IdrissiJumpers Knee
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Parma at homeCagliari away
4
Played
4
1-1-2
W-D-L
3-0-1
0.8
Scored /game
1
1.5
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Parma at home plus Cagliari away).

Players

Key players this season

Cagliari

  • D. Maldini4G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
6FrosinonePlay-offs7+413
7Torino8+213
8Cagliari7-113
9Juventus7+111
10Napoli7+310
11Atalanta7-19
16Udinese7-74
17Genoa7-84
18FiorentinaRelegation7-94
19ParmaRelegation7-94
20VeneziaRelegation7-103
History

Head-to-head

1
Parma
3
Draws
5
Cagliari

Cagliari have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

  • 2026-02-27Parma1-1Cagliari
  • 2025-09-13Cagliari2-0Parma
  • 2025-02-09Cagliari2-1Parma
  • 2024-09-30Parma2-3Cagliari
  • 2023-06-03Parma0-0Cagliari
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

68%84 won from 123 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Cagliari or Draw
64%
Confidence

Cagliari have maintained an unbeaten run across their last five matches, keeping clean sheets in four of them. Furthermore, Cagliari have dominated the head-to-head record with five wins and four draws in their last ten meetings against Parma.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.