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Sat 24 Oct · 03:00

Portland Thorns W vs North Carolina Courage W prediction

Follow Portland Thorns WFollow North Carolina Courage WFollow this match
Round
Group Stage
Venue
Providence Park, Portland
Referee
Matthew Thompson

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Portland Thorns W
47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +1 goal difference

North Carolina Courage W
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Portland Thorns W or Draw

BetGenius backs Portland Thorns W or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Portland Thorns welcome North Carolina Courage to Providence Park in a high-stakes NWSL clash with major playoff implications. Portland currently sit seventh in the standings on 44 points, holding a narrow two-point advantage over ninth-placed North Carolina, who remain in pursuit of a top-eight playoff position.

Portland have been formidable on home soil throughout the campaign, recording seven wins and five draws while suffering only two defeats across 14 home fixtures. Although they enter this contest having drawn three of their last five outings, their defensive discipline at home remains sturdy, conceding an average of just 0.9 goals per match.

North Carolina Courage head into the fixture looking to reverse a slump, having lost four of their last five matches. While they have secured seven away victories this season, their historic trips to Portland have yielded little joy, failing to secure a win in their last five visits to Providence Park.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Portland Thorns have suffered only two defeats in 14 home league matches this season, winning seven and drawing five.
  2. North Carolina Courage have lost four of their last five league fixtures, conceding two goals in each of those four defeats.
  3. North Carolina have not won away against Portland in their last five head-to-head encounters at Providence Park, posting two losses and three draws.
  4. Portland concede an average of only 0.9 goals per game when playing at home.
  5. Head-to-head fixtures between these teams have frequently ended level, with six draws occurring across their last ten meetings.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Portland Thorns W at homeNorth Carolina Courage W away
14
Played
14
7-5-2
W-D-L
7-2-5
1.7
Scored /game
1.7
0.9
Conceded /game
1.3
50%
Clean sheets
36%
7%
Failed to score
21%
100%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.4 goals per game (Portland Thorns W at home plus North Carolina Courage W away).

Players

Key players this season

Portland Thorns W

  • S. Smith11G
  • P. Tordin7A

North Carolina Courage W

  • A. Sanchez15G · 5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
4Kansas City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1247
5Utah Royals WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+747
6Angel City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1746
7Portland Thorns WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+644
8Seattle Reign FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+344
9North Carolina Courage W28+1042
10Denver Summit W28+738
11Orlando Pride W28-636
12Houston Dash W29-433
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
3
Portland Thorns W
5
Draws
2
North Carolina Courage W

Portland Thorns W have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-10-24Portland Thorns W1-0North Carolina Courage W
  • 2026-04-04North Carolina Courage W2-2Portland Thorns W
  • 2025-08-16North Carolina Courage W1-1Portland Thorns W
  • 2025-03-30Portland Thorns W0-0North Carolina Courage W
  • 2024-06-09Portland Thorns W1-0North Carolina Courage W
BetGenius

Our record in NWSL

68%32 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Portland Thorns W or Draw
75%
Confidence

Portland Thorns have lost only two of their 14 home fixtures in the league this season, building their campaign on a robust home defensive foundation that concedes just 0.9 goals per game. North Carolina Courage enter on a difficult run with four defeats in their past five games, and they have failed to win any of their last five away meetings against Portland, drawing three and losing two. Backing the hosts to take at least a point reflects both Portland's consistency at home and North Carolina's recent dip in form.

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Published October 22, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.