BetGenius

Portsmouth vs Derby prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Tue, Sep 1, 06:45 PM
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Referee
Sam Allison, England

Recent form

Portsmouth
24Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference

Derby
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Yes + Portsmouth or Draw
Confidence66%

BetGenius backs Yes + Portsmouth or Draw (Combo Bet) at 66% confidence — a solid call.

Match preview

Portsmouth welcome Derby to Fratton Park for round four of the Championship campaign, with both sides seeking greater stability after mixed starts to the season. Portsmouth sit 15th in the standings with three points from their opening three fixtures, having secured a 3-1 away victory over Lincoln alongside defeats to QPR and Bristol City.

Derby occupy 21st place with a single point from three league outings, having drawn 2-2 with Cardiff while suffering defeats against Charlton and Swansea. Defensive vulnerabilities have been evident for the visitors, who have conceded seven goals across their three matches and remain without a clean sheet.

Recent meetings between these clubs have frequently ended level, with six draws in their last ten encounters across all competitions. Portsmouth must contend with a lengthy injury list that includes eight first-team players, which could level the playing field despite Derby's early-season struggles.

Team news

Portsmouth

  • K. AndersonMuscle Injury
  • M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury
  • J. MurphyInjury
  • C. OgilvieKnee Injury
  • F. UmehHamstring Injury
  • T. WaddinghamAnkle Injury
  • J. FarrellGroin Injury

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Derby

  • P. AgyemangAchilles Tendon Injury
  • D. MurkinHamstring Injury
  • L. TravisInjury
  • M. ClarkeCalf Injury
  • C. ForsythInactive
  • C. MorrisInactive

Statistical comparison

Portsmouth at home vs Derby away
2
Played
3
0-0-2
W-D-L
1-0-2
Scored /game
1
Conceded /game
1.7
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Key players this season

Derby

  • B. Clark2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
14Birmingham5+17
15Stoke City6-17
16Norwich506
17Portsmouth5-16
18Blackburn6-25
19Lincoln5-25
20Cardiff6-34
21Derby5-54
22BoltonRelegation - League One6-64
23BurnleyRelegation - League One6-63
24PrestonRelegation - League One6-63

Head-to-head

Full record →
Portsmouth
1
Draws
6
Derby
3

Derby have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-03-16Portsmouth 0-1 Derby
  • 2025-12-20Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
  • 2025-04-12Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
  • 2024-12-13Derby 4-0 Portsmouth
  • 2024-04-02Portsmouth 2-2 Derby

Our record in Championship

63%52 won from 82 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Yes + Portsmouth or Draw
Confidence66%

Yes — 68% confidence

Both teams enter this fixture without a single clean sheet in the Championship this season. Portsmouth have scored five goals and conceded six in their three matches, finding the net in every fixture. Derby have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game while scoring three. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net, indicating a consistent pattern of chances at both ends.

Portsmouth or Draw — 66% confidence

Portsmouth have already registered a league victory this season and average 1.7 goals scored per game. Derby remain winless through three rounds, having collected just one point and conceding seven goals. While Portsmouth are dealing with multiple injury absences, Derby have lost both of their away competitive games this season against Charlton and Rotherham, making the home side or draw the more probable outcome.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Portsmouth or Draw
Confidence66%

Portsmouth have already registered a league victory this season and average 1.7 goals scored per game. Derby remain winless through three rounds, having collected just one point and conceding seven goals. While Portsmouth are dealing with multiple injury absences, Derby have lost both of their away competitive games this season against Charlton and Rotherham, making the home side or draw the more probable outcome.

Combo BetLOST
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence68%

Both teams enter this fixture without a single clean sheet in the Championship this season. Portsmouth have scored five goals and conceded six in their three matches, finding the net in every fixture. Derby have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game while scoring three. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net, indicating a consistent pattern of chances at both ends.

More from BetGenius

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Published August 30, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.