BetGenius

Qabala vs Şamaxı FK prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sat, Aug 29, 02:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 3
Referee
N. Ismayilli

Recent form

Qabala
45Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Şamaxı FK
39Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Qabala or Draw
Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Qabala or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Qabala host Şamaxı FK in round 3 of the Premyer Liqa looking to register their first points of the new campaign. The hosts have endured a frustrating start, suffering back-to-back 1-0 defeats against Turan and Safa Baku, leaving them 11th in the standings without a goal scored.

Şamaxı FK enter the encounter sitting in 7th place with one point from two away fixtures. Following a 3-1 defeat to reigning champions Qarabag, they tightened up defensively to earn a goalless draw at Turan on matchday two.

Historically, Qabala hold a distinct edge in this fixture, winning six of the last ten head-to-head encounters while suffering only one defeat. While early-season scoring struggles suggest a low-margin affair, home advantage and past meetings offer Qabala a solid foundation to avoid defeat.

Key factors

  • Head-to-head advantage: Qabala have won 6 of the last 10 meetings between the sides, suffering only 1 defeat.
  • Low scoring start: Qabala have failed to score across their opening 2 league fixtures, conceding exactly 1 goal in each.
  • Şamaxı FK road form: Şamaxı FK have collected 1 point from their opening 2 away matches, scoring 1 goal and conceding 3.
  • Tight historical margins: 60% of the last 10 head-to-head encounters between these clubs have finished with under 2.5 total goals.

Statistical comparison

Qabala at home vs Şamaxı FK away
2
Played
3
0-1-1
W-D-L
0-2-1
Scored /game
0.3
Conceded /game
1
Clean sheets
Failed to score
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3QarabagPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)3+49
4Neftchi Baku4+99
5Turan4+17
6Şamaxı FK4+15
7Qabala4-14
8Imisli FK4-24
9Kapaz3-43
10Safa Baku4-53

Head-to-head

Full record →
Qabala
6
Draws
3
Şamaxı FK
1

Qabala have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-21Qabala 3-1 Şamaxı FK
  • 2026-01-24Şamaxı FK 0-4 Qabala
  • 2025-10-05Qabala 0-1 Şamaxı FK
  • 2023-05-22Şamaxı FK 0-0 Qabala
  • 2023-03-17Qabala 2-0 Şamaxı FK

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Qabala or Draw
Confidence68%

Qabala have historically dominated this fixture, claiming six wins and three draws across their last ten meetings with Şamaxı FK. Although Qabala have opened the league season with consecutive 1-0 losses, Şamaxı FK have also struggled going forward, failing to win either of their opening two road games and scoring just one goal.

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Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.