BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 3
Referee
N. Ismayilli
Form

Recent form

Qabala
13Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -10 goal difference

Şamaxı FK
52Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Qabala or Draw

BetGenius backs Qabala or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Qabala host Şamaxı FK in round 3 of the Premyer Liqa looking to register their first points of the new campaign. The hosts have endured a frustrating start, suffering back-to-back 1-0 defeats against Turan and Safa Baku, leaving them 11th in the standings without a goal scored.

Şamaxı FK enter the encounter sitting in 7th place with one point from two away fixtures. Following a 3-1 defeat to reigning champions Qarabag, they tightened up defensively to earn a goalless draw at Turan on matchday two.

Historically, Qabala hold a distinct edge in this fixture, winning six of the last ten head-to-head encounters while suffering only one defeat. While early-season scoring struggles suggest a low-margin affair, home advantage and past meetings offer Qabala a solid foundation to avoid defeat.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Head-to-head advantage: Qabala have won 6 of the last 10 meetings between the sides, suffering only 1 defeat.
  2. Low scoring start: Qabala have failed to score across their opening 2 league fixtures, conceding exactly 1 goal in each.
  3. Şamaxı FK road form: Şamaxı FK have collected 1 point from their opening 2 away matches, scoring 1 goal and conceding 3.
  4. Tight historical margins: 60% of the last 10 head-to-head encounters between these clubs have finished with under 2.5 total goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Qabala at homeŞamaxı FK away
5
Played
5
1-1-3
W-D-L
1-3-1
0.4
Scored /game
1.2
1.8
Conceded /game
1
20%
Clean sheets
40%
80%
Failed to score
40%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 1.6 goals per game (Qabala at home plus Şamaxı FK away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4Zira9015
5Kapaz8014
6Turan8+214
7Şamaxı FK8+313
8Sumqayıt8-18
9Qabala9-117
10Imisli FK8-67
11Safa BakuPremier League (Relegation)9-123
12ArazRelegation - I Liqa9-122
History

Head-to-head

6
Qabala
3
Draws
1
Şamaxı FK

Qabala have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-21Qabala3-1Şamaxı FK
  • 2026-01-24Şamaxı FK0-4Qabala
  • 2025-10-05Qabala0-1Şamaxı FK
  • 2023-05-22Şamaxı FK0-0Qabala
  • 2023-03-17Qabala2-0Şamaxı FK
BetGenius

Our record in Premyer Liqa

72%28 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Qabala or Draw
68%
Confidence

Qabala have historically dominated this fixture, claiming six wins and three draws across their last ten meetings with Şamaxı FK. Although Qabala have opened the league season with consecutive 1-0 losses, Şamaxı FK have also struggled going forward, failing to win either of their opening two road games and scoring just one goal.

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Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.