BetGenius

Qarabag vs Araz prediction

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Kickoff
Sun, Sep 6, 04:15 PM
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
Referee
C. Calilov

Recent form

Qarabag
66Strong

Last 4 matches · 3W-0D-1L · +1 goal difference

Araz
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Qarabag to win
Confidence86%

BetGenius backs Qarabag to win (Match Winner) at 86% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Qarabag enter round four of the Premyer Liqa campaign with a perfect start to their domestic season, having claimed victories in both of their opening two league matches. With four goals scored and just one conceded, the hosts sit third in the table with games in hand, showing their usual dominance on the domestic front.

Araz, on the other hand, have endured a difficult start to their league campaign. Sitting in eleventh position with just one point from three matches, they are yet to score a single goal this season, having drawn once and lost twice while conceding six goals, including a 5-0 defeat in their only away fixture so far.

Historical meetings between these two sides heavily favour the hosts. Qarabag have won all five previous encounters hosted at their ground against Araz, including emphatic scorelines of 6-0 and 5-1 in recent meetings. Given the gulf in early-season form and offensive output, Qarabag hold a substantial advantage heading into this contest.

Key factors

  • Qarabag have won both of their Premyer Liqa fixtures this season, scoring four goals and conceding only one.
  • Araz have failed to score in all three of their league matches so far, collecting just one point.
  • Araz suffered a 5-0 defeat in their only away league match of the campaign against Neftchi Baku.
  • Qarabag have a 100% winning record at home against Araz across five previous encounters, with three of the last four overall meetings ending in 6-0, 5-1, and 5-0 victories for Qarabag.

Statistical comparison

Qarabag at home vs Araz away
1
Played
1
1-0-0
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
BTTS (last 5)
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Sabah FAPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)3+89
2ZiraPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)409
3QarabagPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)3+49
4Neftchi Baku4+99
5Turan4+17
6Şamaxı FK4+15
8Imisli FK4-24
9Kapaz3-43
10Safa Baku4-53
11ArazPremier League (Relegation)4-71
12SumqayıtRelegation - I Liqa3-40

Head-to-head

Full record →
Qarabag
9
Draws
0
Araz
1

Qarabag have won 9 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.9 goals a game, 70% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-06Qarabag 3-2 Araz
  • 2026-03-08Qarabag 6-0 Araz
  • 2025-12-14Qarabag 5-1 Araz
  • 2025-09-21Araz 0-5 Qarabag
  • 2025-05-11Qarabag 2-0 Araz

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Qarabag to win
Confidence86%

Qarabag hold a decisive advantage across all key metrics. They have won both of their league matches this season, while Araz have failed to score across three rounds and conceded five goals in their lone away fixture. Furthermore, Qarabag have won each of their five home head-to-head fixtures against Araz, scoring at least two goals in every encounter and recording heavy victories of 6-0 and 5-1 in recent clashes.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.