BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
Referee
V. Hasanli
Form

Recent form

Qarabag
61Average

Last 4 matches · 2W-1D-1L · -1 goal difference

Safa Baku
17Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -8 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Qarabag to win

BetGenius backs Qarabag to win (Match Winner) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Qarabag welcome Safa Baku to the Premyer Liqa in round six, looking to maintain their strong domestic start. The hosts sit third in the table with ten points from four matches, having won three and drawn one while scoring eight goals and conceding four. They boast a perfect home record in the league with two wins from two, averaging three goals scored per contest on their own turf.

Safa Baku find themselves near the foot of the table in tenth place with three points from their opening matches. Their away form shows one victory alongside two defeats, conceding six goals across three road fixtures. A recent 4-1 away loss against Neftchi Baku highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities against top-tier opposition.

With Qarabag scoring in every league match so far and Safa Baku averaging two goals conceded per away match, the hosts hold a significant statistical and form advantage heading into this encounter.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Qarabag are unbeaten in the league with three wins and one draw from four matches.
  2. Qarabag have won both home league fixtures, scoring six goals across those two games.
  3. Safa Baku sit tenth in the standings with three points and a minus-eight goal difference.
  4. Safa Baku have conceded an average of two goals per match in away league games.
  5. Qarabag have scored in all four of their league matches this season.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Qarabag at homeSafa Baku away
2
Played
3
2-0-0
W-D-L
1-0-2
—
Scored /game
0.7
—
Conceded /game
2
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
—
BTTS (last 5)
20%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Sabah FAPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)7+1719
2Neftchi BakuPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+1317
3QarabagPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)7+717
4Turan8+214
5Şamaxı FK8+313
6Zira8-112
8Sumqayıt708
9Imisli FK8-67
10Qabala8-124
11Safa BakuPremier League (Relegation)8-113
12ArazRelegation - I Liqa8-112
History

Head-to-head

1
Qarabag
0
Draws
0
Safa Baku

Qarabag have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-09-18Qarabag1-0Safa Baku
BetGenius

Our record in Premyer Liqa

72%28 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Qarabag to win
78%
Confidence

Qarabag have taken ten points from four league games and hold a 100 percent winning record at home, averaging 3.0 goals scored per match. In contrast, Safa Baku have lost three of their four recorded league games and carry a minus-eight goal difference in the standings, having conceded four goals in their last away trip to Neftchi Baku. The gap in attacking output and table standing establishes Qarabag as decisive favourites to secure all three points.

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Published September 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.