BetGenius
Round
1/128-finals
Form

Recent form

Régua
19Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -6 goal difference

AD Marco 09
60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
AD Marco 09 or Draw

BetGenius backs AD Marco 09 or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Régua host AD Marco 09 in the opening rounds of the Taça de Portugal, looking to overturn a difficult historical matchup against an opponent that has previously gotten the better of them. Cup ties often introduce unpredictable variables, but the contrasting trajectories in recent fixtures provide important context.

AD Marco 09 enter this encounter having shown competitive form in August 2026, recording victories against Vianense (2-0) and Paços de Ferreira (2-1), alongside a draw with Cinfães (1-1). Their attacking output has been steady, finding the net in four of their last five fixtures.

Régua, by contrast, struggled across their recorded sequence, failing to record a victory in five matches (one draw, four defeats) while scoring only twice. With AD Marco 09 having also won both previous head-to-head encounters between the two clubs, the visitors hold a solid baseline heading into this knockout clash.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. AD Marco 09 have won both previous head-to-head fixtures between the two sides, including a 1-0 away victory at Régua in February 2025.
  2. Régua are winless in their last five recorded matches, scoring only two goals and suffering four defeats.
  3. AD Marco 09 have scored in four of their last five competitive matches, picking up two wins and a draw.
  4. Head-to-head meetings between the two teams have averaged 2.0 total goals per game.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Régua at homeAD Marco 09 away
—
Played
1
—
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
0%
History

Head-to-head

0
Régua
0
Draws
3
AD Marco 09

AD Marco 09 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-08-30Régua0-1AD Marco 09
  • 2025-02-16Régua0-1AD Marco 09
  • 2024-10-06AD Marco 092-1Régua
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
AD Marco 09 or Draw
78%
Confidence

AD Marco 09 have won both previous head-to-head meetings against Régua (2-1 and 1-0) and arrive with positive recent competitive results including wins over Vianense and Paços de Ferreira. Régua have struggled for attacking consistency, managing just two goals across their last five recorded fixtures. Backing AD Marco 09 on the Double Chance market offers strong probability coverage for this cup tie.

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.