BetGenius

Rodina Moskva vs Baltika prediction

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Premier LeaguePremier League
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 30, 12:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Arena Khimki, Khimki
Referee
Evgeniy Kukulyak, Russia

Recent form

Rodina Moskva
8Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -10 goal difference

Baltika
57Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Baltika or Draw
Confidence70%

BetGenius backs Baltika or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Rodina Moskva host Baltika at home in round 6 of the Premier League season. Rodina Moskva currently sit in 13th position with four points, having recorded one win, one draw, and three defeats across their opening five fixtures. Their primary concern has been defensive stability, having conceded 14 goals in five matches without keeping a clean sheet.

Baltika enter this encounter in 6th place with seven points from their five matches, boasting a balanced record of two wins, one draw, and two defeats. Operating primarily in a 5-4-1 setup, the visitors have shown solid structure, conceding just six goals all season (1.2 per game) while scoring seven in return.

With Rodina Moskva yet to secure a home league win this campaign (one draw, one loss, with seven goals conceded at home) and missing R. Fishchenko and A. Sokol through injury, Baltika's disciplined defensive unit and effective transition play give the away side a solid foundation to take something from this trip.

Key factors

  • Rodina Moskva have conceded 14 goals in five league matches, averaging 2.8 goals conceded per game with zero clean sheets.
  • Baltika sit 6th in the standings with seven points and have conceded only six goals across five fixtures.
  • Rodina Moskva remain winless at home in the league (one draw, one loss), having conceded seven goals across those two home ties.
  • Baltika have won two of the last five head-to-head encounters against Rodina Moskva, suffering only one defeat in that sequence.
  • Rodina Moskva are managing injury absences for R. Fishchenko and A. Sokol.

Team news

Rodina Moskva

  • R. FishchenkoInjury
  • A. SokolInjury

Team news last updated Aug 15 (25 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Baltika

  • A. FilinKnee Injury

Statistical comparison

Rodina Moskva at home vs Baltika away
3
Played
3
0-1-2
W-D-L
2-0-1
1.7
Scored /game
2
3.3
Conceded /game
0.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Rodina Moskva at home plus Baltika away).

Key players this season

Rodina Moskva

  • A. Maksimenko3G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
4Spartak Moscow7+513
5Zenit7+812
6Dinamo Makhachkala7+212
7Baltika7+310
8Rubin7+110
9FC Rostov7-18
10FC Orenburg7-28
11Akhmat7+17
12Krylia Sovetov7-27
13LokomotivPremier League (Relegation)7-26
14Rodina MoskvaPremier League (Relegation)7-114
15AkronRelegation - FNL7-94
16FakelRelegation - FNL7-62

Head-to-head

Full record →
Rodina Moskva
1
Draws
2
Baltika
3

Baltika have won 3 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, 67% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-30Rodina Moskva 0-3 Baltika
  • 2024-11-23Baltika 2-1 Rodina Moskva
  • 2024-07-14Rodina Moskva 0-0 Baltika
  • 2023-04-07Baltika 0-0 Rodina Moskva
  • 2022-09-18Rodina Moskva 1-2 Baltika

Our record in Premier League

79%23 won from 29 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Baltika or Draw
Confidence70%

Baltika hold a superior defensive record compared to Rodina Moskva, conceding only 1.2 goals per game overall and boasting a 2-0 away win over Krylia Sovetov earlier in the campaign. In contrast, Rodina Moskva have conceded an average of 3.5 goals per match at home and have not won a home league game this season. Backing Baltika in the double chance market provides protection across both an away victory and a share of the points.

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Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.