BetGenius
Round
Group Stage
Venue
Lumen Field, Seattle
Referee
Mark Verso
Form

Recent form

Seattle Reign FC W
50Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · 0 goal difference

North Carolina Courage W
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Seattle Reign FC W or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Seattle Reign FC W or Draw (Combo Bet) at 66% confidence — a solid call.

66%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Seattle Reign FC W host North Carolina Courage W in a crucial late-season NWSL encounter with both sides separated by just one point in the playoff race. Seattle sit eighth on 40 points, holding the final quarter-final position, while North Carolina trail right behind in ninth with 39 points.

Seattle enter this match having built formidable momentum at home. They have won their last three home fixtures without conceding a goal, defeating Boston Legacy 2-0, Bay FC 2-0, and San Diego Wave 1-0. Across 13 home matches this season, Seattle have conceded only nine goals and kept eight clean sheets, showing remarkable defensive resilience on their own turf.

North Carolina Courage arrive in difficult form, having lost four of their last five matches, including each of their last three against Utah Royals, NJ/NY Gotham FC, and San Diego Wave. Although they boast the league's top-end scoring output led by A. Sanchez with 16 goals, their recent slump and Seattle's sturdy home record present a stern test for the visitors.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Seattle Reign FC W at homeNorth Carolina Courage W away
14
Played
14
8-2-4
W-D-L
7-2-5
1.1
Scored /game
1.7
0.7
Conceded /game
1.3
57%
Clean sheets
36%
36%
Failed to score
21%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Seattle Reign FC W at home plus North Carolina Courage W away).

Players

Key players this season

North Carolina Courage W

  • A. Sanchez15G · 5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5Utah Royals WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+747
6Angel City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1746
7Portland Thorns WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+644
8Seattle Reign FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+344
9North Carolina Courage W28+1042
10Denver Summit W28+738
11Orlando Pride W28-636
12Houston Dash W29-433
History

Head-to-head

5
Seattle Reign FC W
1
Draws
4
North Carolina Courage W

Seattle Reign FC W have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-07-04North Carolina Courage W3-1Seattle Reign FC W
  • 2025-09-29Seattle Reign FC W2-1North Carolina Courage W
  • 2025-03-22North Carolina Courage W1-2Seattle Reign FC W
  • 2024-08-26Seattle Reign FC W1-0North Carolina Courage W
  • 2024-04-27North Carolina Courage W1-0Seattle Reign FC W
BetGenius

Our record in NWSL

68%32 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Seattle Reign FC W or Draw
66%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 66% confidence

Seattle's home matches average only 1.9 total goals per game, driven by a tight defence that allows just 0.7 goals against per fixture and has recorded eight home clean sheets. Furthermore, Seattle's last three home matches have all finished with two or fewer total goals.

Seattle Reign FC W or Draw — 75% confidence

Seattle Reign have been exceptionally solid at home this season, recording eight wins and two draws from 13 matches while conceding just nine goals. In head-to-head fixtures hosted by Seattle, the home side is unbeaten across the last four encounters with three wins and one draw. North Carolina Courage enter on a three-match losing streak, making the home side well positioned to take at least a point.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
Seattle Reign FC W or Draw
75%
Confidence

Seattle Reign have been exceptionally solid at home this season, recording eight wins and two draws from 13 matches while conceding just nine goals. In head-to-head fixtures hosted by Seattle, the home side is unbeaten across the last four encounters with three wins and one draw. North Carolina Courage enter on a three-match losing streak, making the home side well positioned to take at least a point.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
Confidence

Seattle's home matches average only 1.9 total goals per game, driven by a tight defence that allows just 0.7 goals against per fixture and has recorded eight home clean sheets. Furthermore, Seattle's last three home matches have all finished with two or fewer total goals.

GoalsLOST
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

North Carolina Courage W fixtures consistently produce scoring opportunities at both ends, with their 13 away matches averaging 3.15 total goals and each of their last five league outings seeing at least three goals scored. Seattle Reign FC W have scored in four of their last five matches and average 1.2 goals scored per home match. While Seattle have maintained eight clean sheets at home and concede just 0.7 goals per game on their own ground, North Carolina have scored 23 away goals this season. The previous three head-to-head encounters produced scorelines of 3-1, 2-1, and 2-1, but Seattle's low home concession rate makes two goals a far more reliable expectation than a third.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 1, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.