BetGenius

Southampton vs West Ham prediction

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EFL CupEFL Cup
Kickoff
Tue, Aug 25, 06:45 PM
Round
Round of 64
Venue
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Referee
R. Ricardo

Recent form

Southampton
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference

West Ham
78Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Southampton or Draw
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Southampton or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Southampton host West Ham at St Mary's in the Round of 64 of the EFL Cup. The Saints enter this cup tie in encouraging form, having secured four victories in their last five matches across all competitions, including a 3-1 home win against Stoke City and a 2-0 away victory over Colchester.

West Ham, by contrast, have found victories harder to come by in recent outings. The Hammers have managed just one win in their last five fixtures—a 3-1 result over Portsmouth—while suffering a 2-1 defeat to Charlton and playing out draws against Burnley (2-2), 1. FC Magdeburg (1-1), and Rangers (0-0). In addition, West Ham will be without Pablo and T. Soucek due to injuries.

Historical encounters between these two sides point towards closely contested affairs. Across their last 10 head-to-head meetings, four have ended level, with average goals standing at 2.2 per match. At Southampton, three of the previous five meetings finished in draws, suggesting another tightly balanced cup fixture.

Key factors

  • Southampton have won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
  • West Ham have secured only 1 victory in their last 5 fixtures (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss).
  • Head-to-head history shows 4 draws in 10 matches, with 3 of the 5 played at Southampton ending level.
  • The 10-game head-to-head record features a low average of 2.2 goals per match, with only 40% exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • West Ham are missing key personnel with T. Soucek (ankle injury) and Pablo (health problems) sidelined.

Team news

Southampton

  • C. JanderLacking Match Fitness

West Ham

  • T. SoucekAnkle Injury
  • T. CastellanosInjury
  • PabloCalf Injury

Statistical comparison

Southampton at home vs West Ham away
2
Played
2
2-0-0
W-D-L
0-2-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
100%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Key players this season

West Ham

  • V. Castellanos3G
  • J. Bowen2G · 1A
  • J. Ajala2G
  • L. Orford2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Head-to-head

Full record →
Southampton
2
Draws
4
West Ham
4

West Ham have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2025-04-19West Ham 1-1 Southampton
  • 2024-12-26Southampton 0-1 West Ham
  • 2023-04-02West Ham 1-0 Southampton
  • 2022-10-16Southampton 1-1 West Ham
  • 2022-03-02Southampton 3-1 West Ham

Our record in EFL Cup

69%22 won from 32 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Southampton or Draw
Confidence74%

Southampton come into the tie with strong recent momentum, winning four of their last five matches. West Ham have won only once in their past five games and enter without T. Soucek and Pablo. Given that three of the last five meetings hosted by Southampton have ended in draws and the overall 10-match head-to-head history averages just 2.2 goals per game, backing Southampton in the Double Chance market provides a well-calibrated, high-probability position.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.