BetGenius

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets prediction

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Kickoff
Sun, Aug 30, 04:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Stadion Spartak, Varna
Referee
Nikola Popov, Bulgaria

Recent form

Spartak Varna
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -7 goal difference

Ludogorets
70Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +4 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Ludogorets to win
Confidence80%

BetGenius backs Ludogorets to win (Match Winner) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

League leaders Ludogorets travel to face Spartak Varna in round 7 of the First League looking to maintain their strong domestic momentum. Ludogorets sit at the top of the standings with 16 points from six matches (five wins, one draw) and have maintained an unbeaten start to their league campaign while conceding only four goals.

Spartak Varna currently occupy seventh place with seven points from six fixtures and enter this match amid a difficult run of form. Following three consecutive defeats—capped by a heavy 6-0 loss against Levski Sofia—the hosts face a major test against the league's most consistent side.

Key factors

  • Ludogorets lead the First League standings with 16 points and remain unbeaten through six matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
  • Spartak Varna are on a three-match losing streak in the league, having conceded 10 goals across those three fixtures.
  • Head-to-head history heavily favors Ludogorets, who have won seven of the previous eight clashes and all four away meetings.
  • Spartak Varna have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game in the league this season.
  • Past encounters between these two clubs have produced an average of 3.375 goals per match, with 75% seeing over 2.5 total goals.

Statistical comparison

Spartak Varna at home vs Ludogorets away
4
Played
3
1-2-1
W-D-L
2-1-0
1
Scored /game
2
1
Conceded /game
1
Clean sheets
Failed to score
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Spartak Varna at home plus Ludogorets away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Levski SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)8+1724
2LudogoretsPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)8+820
3CSKA SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)7+1217
4CSKA 1948Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)8+716
5Arda KardzhaliPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)8+616
6Slavia SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)8+210
7Botev PlovdivPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)8-310
8Spartak VarnaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)8-49
9Septemvri Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-68
10Botev Vratsaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-107
11Lokomotiv Plovdivefbet League (Relegation Group)8-66

Head-to-head

Full record →
Spartak Varna
0
Draws
2
Ludogorets
7

Ludogorets have won 7 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

  • 2026-08-30Spartak Varna 1-1 Ludogorets
  • 2026-03-19Spartak Varna 1-5 Ludogorets
  • 2025-10-18Ludogorets 1-1 Spartak Varna
  • 2025-04-19Ludogorets 2-1 Spartak Varna
  • 2024-11-10Spartak Varna 1-3 Ludogorets

Our record in First League

55%17 won from 31 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Ludogorets to win
Confidence80%

Ludogorets meet the high bar for a straight away win selection due to an overwhelming statistical advantage across multiple indicators. The visitors sit top of the First League with five wins from six games and an average of 2.5 goals scored per away fixture. In contrast, Spartak Varna have lost three consecutive league matches, conceding 10 goals in that span. Furthermore, historical head-to-head records strongly favor Ludogorets, who have won seven of the last eight meetings between the sides, including all four played at Spartak Varna.

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Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.