BetGenius
Round
Group Stage
Venue
Hodges Stadium
Referee
I. De Cristofaro
Form

Recent form

Sporting JAX
4Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -12 goal difference

Louisville City
88Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Louisville City to win

BetGenius backs Louisville City to win (Match Winner) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Louisville City arrive in Jacksonville in fine form, having won four of their last five matches and sitting fourth in the USL Championship with 43 points. Their recent home performances have been solid, scoring 11 goals and conceding only four in the same span. Sporting JAX, meanwhile, sit bottom of the table with just 14 points, a goal‑difference of –42 and no clean sheets all season. Their last five outings have all ended in defeat, scoring only two goals while conceding 14. The only head‑to‑head encounter this season saw Louisville City win 1‑0 away, underscoring the disparity between the sides. With Louisville’s attacking threat and defensive stability contrasted against Sporting JAX’s porous defence and lack of firepower, the visitors are strong favourites to claim all three points.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Louisville City sit fourth with 43 points, while Sporting JAX are bottom with 14 points
  2. Louisville City have won four of their last five games, Sporting JAX have lost their last five
  3. Home record: Louisville City 7‑3‑4, Sporting JAX 2‑3‑9
  4. Sporting JAX have conceded 2.6 goals per game and kept no clean sheets this season
  5. Previous encounter ended 1‑0 to Louisville City
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Sporting JAX at homeLouisville City away
14
Played
14
2-3-9
W-D-L
5-4-5
1.4
Scored /game
1.9
2.8
Conceded /game
1.9
0%
Clean sheets
21%
36%
Failed to score
0%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Sporting JAX at home plus Louisville City away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesPlay Offs: 1/8-finals29+2458
2Charleston BatteryPlay Offs: 1/8-finals29+2050
3Detroit CityPlay Offs: 1/8-finals29+1350
4Louisville CityPlay Offs: 1/8-finals29+846
5Rhode IslandPlay Offs: 1/8-finals29+1042
6Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPlay Offs: 1/8-finals29+242
7Hartford AthleticPlay Offs: 1/8-finals29+140
10Birmingham Legion29-530
11Loudoun United29-1128
12Brooklyn29-2821
13Sporting JAX29-4414
History

Head-to-head

0
Sporting JAX
0
Draws
2
Louisville City

Louisville City have won 2 of the last 2 meetings.

  • 2026-10-21Sporting JAX0-2Louisville City
  • 2026-04-18Louisville City1-0Sporting JAX
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Louisville City to win
72%
Confidence

Louisville City’s superior league position, recent four‑match winning streak and home record (7‑3‑4) point to a clear advantage. Sporting JAX have struggled to score (1.1 goals per game) and have conceded 2.6 per game, with zero clean sheets, indicating they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet or limit the total. The single previous meeting ended 1‑0 to Louisville City, reinforcing the expectation of an away win. Combined season averages (1.8+1.1≈2.9) and recent goal totals suggest the match will exceed 2.5 goals.

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Published October 21, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.