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Sat 5 Sept · 12:30

Stoke City vs Charlton prediction

Follow Stoke CityFollow CharltonFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Referee
Robert Madley, England

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Stoke City
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +3 goal difference

Charlton
30Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Charlton or Draw

BetGenius backs Charlton or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Stoke City welcome Charlton to the bet365 Stadium in round five of the Championship season, with the two sides experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. Stoke City currently occupy 22nd place in the table with three points from four league outings, having lost three of their four fixtures and conceded nine goals in that span.

Charlton have enjoyed an impressive opening stretch, sitting third in the standings with ten points after three wins and a draw. The Addicks remain unbeaten in league competition, conceding just three goals across four matches while showing consistency on the road with four points gathered from their two away fixtures.

While Stoke did manage a 1-0 victory over Norwich in their most recent home appearance, their defensive fragility across the opening month and Charlton's steady structure make this a tough test for the hosts.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Charlton are undefeated in the Championship this season with three wins and one draw from four matches.
  2. Stoke City sit 22nd in the table having lost three of their four league games, allowing nine goals in total.
  3. Charlton have conceded only three goals in four league fixtures, averaging 0.8 goals against per game.
  4. Stoke have managed just four goals across four league games, failing to score more than once in any of their last five outings across all competitions.
Availability

Team news

Stoke City

  • A. AmpahKnee Injury
  • E. BocatInjury
  • A. CresswellKnee Injury
  • S. GallagherInjury
  • S. IngelssonMuscle Injury

Charlton

  • R. ApterKnee Injury
  • C. SichenjeKnee Injury
  • N. ChalobahMuscle Injury
  • M. GoddenMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Stoke City at homeCharlton away
5
Played
6
3-0-2
W-D-L
1-2-3
2
Scored /game
1
1.2
Conceded /game
2.2
40%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Failed to score
33%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Stoke City at home plus Charlton away).

Players

Key players this season

Stoke City

  • E. Galbraith3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
8SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+1117
9QPR11+317
14Wrexham11-114
15Bolton11-314
16Bristol City11-314
17Charlton11-514
18Lincoln11-1012
19Cardiff11+111
20Watford11-911
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Stoke City
0
Draws
2
Charlton

the last 4 meetings are split 2-2 with 0 drawn, averaging 3.0 goals a game, 75% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-02-11Charlton1-0Stoke City
  • 2025-11-25Stoke City3-0Charlton
  • 2020-02-08Stoke City3-1Charlton
  • 2019-08-10Charlton3-1Stoke City
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%126 won from 199 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Charlton or Draw
75%
Confidence

Charlton enter this fixture in strong league form, holding an unbeaten record of three wins and one draw through their opening four Championship fixtures. In contrast, Stoke City have suffered three defeats in four league matches, conceding nine goals overall. Although Stoke have won their previous two home meetings against Charlton in recent years, Charlton's defensive record of just 0.8 goals conceded per game this season provides them with a stable platform to take at least a point away from home.

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Published September 3, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.