BetGenius

Stoke City vs Hull City prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Tue, Aug 25, 06:45 PM
Round
Round of 64
Venue
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent
Referee
J. Busby

Recent form

Stoke City
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Hull City
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +3 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Hull City or Draw
Confidence64%

BetGenius backs Hull City or Draw (Double Chance) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Stoke City host Hull City at the bet365 Stadium in the Round of 64 of the EFL Cup. Stoke enter this cup tie looking to arrest a two-match losing run, having recently suffered a 1-2 defeat to Swansea and a 1-3 reverse against Southampton. Prior to those losses, Stoke secured a 2-0 victory over Oldham in their earlier cup outing.

Hull City arrive following a 2-0 victory against Manchester United and a goalless draw with Nice. However, the visitors are dealing with significant squad attrition, with eight players sidelined through injury including J. Butland, J. Gelhardt, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, M. Jacob, E. Matazo, H. Morita, and O. Zambrano.

Historical head-to-head fixtures at Stoke have favoured the Tigers in recent years, with Hull winning on their last three visits (1-2 in November 2025, 1-3 in September 2024, and 1-3 in September 2023). Given cup rotation and extensive injury lists on both sides, this encounter is projected to be tightly contested.

Key factors

  • Hull City have won their last three competitive visits to Stoke City (2-1, 3-1, and 3-1).
  • Stoke City come into the match off back-to-back defeats against Swansea (1-2) and Southampton (1-3).
  • Hull City have kept clean sheets in their last two outings against Manchester United (2-0) and Nice (0-0).
  • Both teams face squad depth tests, with Hull missing eight players through injury and Stoke missing five.

Team news

Stoke City

  • A. CresswellKnee Injury
  • B. GibsonHead Injury
  • A. AmpahHamstring Injury
  • S. IngelssonInjury
  • J. TchamadeuKnee Injury

Hull City

  • I. AnsahBack Injury
  • J. ButlandArm Injury
  • M. CrooksMuscle Injury
  • D. GyabiGroin Injury
  • C. HughesGroin Injury
  • E. MatazoKnee Injury
  • P. McNairInjury
  • H. MoritaCalf Injury
  • O. ZambranoHamstring Injury

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Statistical comparison

Stoke City at home vs Hull City away
3
Played
1
2-0-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
2
Scored /game
0.7
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
60%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
0%

Key players this season

Stoke City

  • R. Boženík2G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Head-to-head

Full record →
Stoke City
6
Draws
1
Hull City
3

Stoke City have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game.

  • 2026-01-01Hull City 0-1 Stoke City
  • 2025-11-29Stoke City 1-2 Hull City
  • 2025-02-01Hull City 1-2 Stoke City
  • 2024-09-20Stoke City 1-3 Hull City
  • 2024-03-29Hull City 0-2 Stoke City

Our record in EFL Cup

69%22 won from 32 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Hull City or Draw
Confidence64%

Hull City have demonstrated strong form on their visits to Stoke, winning three of the five head-to-head meetings held at Stoke's home ground. Stoke have also suffered defeats in their last two matches, conceding five goals across those games. While Hull face multiple injury absences, covering the double chance on the away side offers a well-calibrated probabilistic position for this cup fixture.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.