BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Venue
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent
Referee
J. Busby
Form

Recent form

Stoke City
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +3 goal difference

Hull City
26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Hull City or Draw

BetGenius backs Hull City or Draw (Double Chance) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Stoke City host Hull City at the bet365 Stadium in the Round of 64 of the EFL Cup. Stoke enter this cup tie looking to arrest a two-match losing run, having recently suffered a 1-2 defeat to Swansea and a 1-3 reverse against Southampton. Prior to those losses, Stoke secured a 2-0 victory over Oldham in their earlier cup outing.

Hull City arrive following a 2-0 victory against Manchester United and a goalless draw with Nice. However, the visitors are dealing with significant squad attrition, with eight players sidelined through injury including J. Butland, J. Gelhardt, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, M. Jacob, E. Matazo, H. Morita, and O. Zambrano.

Historical head-to-head fixtures at Stoke have favoured the Tigers in recent years, with Hull winning on their last three visits (1-2 in November 2025, 1-3 in September 2024, and 1-3 in September 2023). Given cup rotation and extensive injury lists on both sides, this encounter is projected to be tightly contested.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Hull City have won their last three competitive visits to Stoke City (2-1, 3-1, and 3-1).
  2. Stoke City come into the match off back-to-back defeats against Swansea (1-2) and Southampton (1-3).
  3. Hull City have kept clean sheets in their last two outings against Manchester United (2-0) and Nice (0-0).
  4. Both teams face squad depth tests, with Hull missing eight players through injury and Stoke missing five.
Availability

Team news

Stoke City

  • A. AmpahKnee Injury
  • E. BocatInjury
  • A. CresswellKnee Injury
  • S. GallagherInjury
  • S. IngelssonMuscle Injury

Hull City

  • I. AnsahBack Injury
  • J. ButlandArm Injury
  • D. GyabiGroin Injury
  • C. HughesGroin Injury
  • E. MatazoKnee Injury
  • N. MendyGroin Injury
  • M. TargettAnkle Injury
  • M. ChoMuscle Injury
  • L. Gourna-DouathCalf Injury
  • R. VazAchilles Tendon Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Stoke City at homeHull City away
5
Played
4
3-0-2
W-D-L
1-1-2
2
Scored /game
1
1.2
Conceded /game
1.3
40%
Clean sheets
—
0%
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Stoke City at home plus Hull City away).

History

Head-to-head

6
Stoke City
1
Draws
3
Hull City

Stoke City have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game.

  • 2026-01-01Hull City0-1Stoke City
  • 2025-11-29Stoke City1-2Hull City
  • 2025-02-01Hull City1-2Stoke City
  • 2024-09-20Stoke City1-3Hull City
  • 2024-03-29Hull City0-2Stoke City
BetGenius

Our record in EFL Cup

73%41 won from 56 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Hull City or Draw
64%
Confidence

Hull City have demonstrated strong form on their visits to Stoke, winning three of the five head-to-head meetings held at Stoke's home ground. Stoke have also suffered defeats in their last two matches, conceding five goals across those games. While Hull face multiple injury absences, covering the double chance on the away side offers a well-calibrated probabilistic position for this cup fixture.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.