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Sunderland vs Hull City prediction
Checking status…Kickoff
Tue, Sep 8, 06:45 PM
Round
Round of 32
Venue
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Recent form
Sunderland
63Average
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference
Hull City
67Strong
Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +3 goal difference
Our verdict
SolidMarket
Draw No Bet
Pick
Sunderland (draw no bet)
Confidence68%
BetGenius backs Sunderland (draw no bet) (Draw No Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Sunderland host Hull City at the Stadium of Light in the EFL Cup Round of 32, with both teams bringing solid recent form into this knockout clash. Sunderland have picked up two wins and a draw from their last four competitive fixtures, including a 1-0 home victory over Fulham and a 1-1 draw at Brentford.
Hull City arrive on the back of a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions, built upon exceptional defensive discipline. The visitors have conceded only one goal across their last five outings, recording shutouts against Aston Villa, Coventry, Manchester United, and Nice.
However, Hull face significant squad management challenges heading into this cup tie, with eight players sidelined through injury. Given Sunderland's relatively clean bill of health and the history of low-scoring affairs between these two sides, this encounter is likely to be tightly contested.
Key factors
- Hull City have kept clean sheets in four of their last five matches, allowing only one goal in that sequence.
- The last four head-to-head fixtures between Sunderland and Hull City have all ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
- Hull City are missing eight players due to injury, significantly depleting their squad depth for this cup tie.
- Sunderland have suffered only one defeat in their last five matches, which included a 1-0 home win against Fulham.
- Across their last nine meetings, over 2.5 goals has landed in only 33.3 percent of games.
Team news
Sunderland
- H. DiarraInjury
Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.
Hull City
- I. AnsahBack Injury
- J. ButlandArm Injury
- M. CrooksMuscle Injury
- D. GyabiGroin Injury
- C. HughesGroin Injury
- E. MatazoKnee Injury
- P. McNairInjury
- H. MoritaCalf Injury
- O. ZambranoHamstring Injury
Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.
Statistical comparison
Sunderland at home vs Hull City away—
Played
1
—
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
0%
Head-to-head
Full record →Sunderland
4
Draws
3
Hull City
2
Sunderland have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.
- 2026-09-08Sunderland 1-0 Hull City
- 2025-02-22Sunderland 0-1 Hull City
- 2024-10-20Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
- 2024-01-19Sunderland 0-1 Hull City
- 2023-12-26Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Our record in EFL Cup
69%22 won from 32 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.3 published markets
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Combo BetWON
Market
Draw No Bet
Pick
Sunderland (draw no bet)
Confidence68%
Sunderland enter this knockout tie with home advantage and near-full squad availability, missing only H. Diarra. In contrast, Hull City are dealing with eight reported injuries, including J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo, O. Zambrano, I. Ansah, M. Crooks, and J. Gelhardt. Backing Sunderland with the draw refund provides protection against Hull's defensive resilience while accounting for the hosts' squad depth advantage.
Combo BetWON
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence75%
Recent head-to-head meetings between Sunderland and Hull City have consistently produced low scorelines, with each of their last four clashes finishing with exactly one goal (1-0 or 0-1). Furthermore, only 33.3 percent of their previous nine encounters have exceeded 2.5 goals. Hull City have conceded just one goal across their last five matches, playing out two 0-0 draws and a 1-0 win in that span, making another low-scoring contest the most probable outcome.
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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.