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Sat 19 Sept · 19:45

Toulouse vs Le Havre prediction

Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Referee
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
Form

Recent form

Toulouse
62Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference

Le Havre
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Toulouse or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Toulouse or Draw (Combo Bet) at 72% confidence — a solid call.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Toulouse host Le Havre at Stadium de Toulouse with both clubs searching for their first league victory of the campaign. Toulouse sit 17th in the standings with two points from four matches, having suffered consecutive home defeats against Lyon and Lille without finding the net on their own ground.

Le Havre occupy 16th place, also on two points, and enter the fixture dealing with significant squad depth issues following eight reported player absences. The visitors have found goals hard to come by, netting only twice in their opening league fixtures while playing out low-scoring affairs, including a 0-0 draw with Angers and a 1-1 draw at Lyon.

With both teams struggling for offensive fluency and desperate to steer clear of early-season relegation trouble, a tightly contested encounter with limited goalmouth action is expected.

Availability

Team news

Toulouse

  • M. NifloreInjury
  • S. OppongCalf Injury

Le Havre

  • E. JelertThigh Injury
  • F. MambimbiAchilles Tendon Injury
  • L. Mpasi-NzauAchilles Tendon Injury
  • T. PembeleMuscle Injury
  • A. ToureKnee Injury
  • S. ZagadouKnee Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Toulouse at homeLe Havre away
3
Played
3
1-0-2
W-D-L
0-1-2
1
Scored /game
1
1.7
Conceded /game
1.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Toulouse at home plus Le Havre away).

Players

Key players this season

Toulouse

  • C. Tengstedt5G
  • C. Cásseres5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
12Toulouse7+19
13Auxerre7-69
14Strasbourg7-37
15Angers7-67
16Le MansRelegation Playoffs7-56
17Estac TroyesRelegation7-114
18Le HavreRelegation7-62
History

Head-to-head

5
Toulouse
2
Draws
3
Le Havre

Toulouse have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game.

  • 2026-02-15Le Havre2-1Toulouse
  • 2025-11-02Toulouse0-0Le Havre
  • 2025-02-23Le Havre1-4Toulouse
  • 2024-09-15Toulouse2-0Le Havre
  • 2024-03-10Le Havre1-0Toulouse
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Toulouse or Draw
72%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 75% confidence

Toulouse have failed to score in both of their home league matches so far, losing 1-0 to Lille and 2-0 to Lyon. Le Havre have averaged just 0.7 goals scored per game across the campaign, with three of their four competitive fixtures seeing two or fewer total goals. Given the low attacking output of both sides, under 2.5 match goals is strongly supported.

Toulouse or Draw — 72% confidence

While Toulouse have had a slow start at home, Le Havre arrive severely weakened by injuries and unavailabilities across multiple positions, including J. Mwanga, A. Toure, and R. Ndiaye. Le Havre have yet to secure a league win this season, giving Toulouse a solid foundation to take at least a point from this fixture.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Toulouse or Draw
72%
Confidence

While Toulouse have had a slow start at home, Le Havre arrive severely weakened by injuries and unavailabilities across multiple positions, including J. Mwanga, A. Toure, and R. Ndiaye. Le Havre have yet to secure a league win this season, giving Toulouse a solid foundation to take at least a point from this fixture.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
75%
Confidence

Toulouse have failed to score in both of their home league matches so far, losing 1-0 to Lille and 2-0 to Lyon. Le Havre have averaged just 0.7 goals scored per game across the campaign, with three of their four competitive fixtures seeing two or fewer total goals. Given the low attacking output of both sides, under 2.5 match goals is strongly supported.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.