Union score an average of one goal at home and concede one, while Hapoel average one goal and two conceded away. The combined expectation is around two goals, making an under‑2.5 total the more likely outcome.
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction
- Round
- League Stage - 3
- Venue
- Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf
- Referee
- Mikola Balakin
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +9 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 62% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Union St. Gilloise enter the Europa League tie on a decent domestic run, unbeaten in two league matches with a 3‑0 home win and a 1‑1 draw. Their home form shows they score regularly but also concede at a similar rate. Hapoel Beer Sheva have struggled in the competition, recording a loss away (1‑2) and a draw at home, with only one goal scored in two games. Their away record suggests they find it hard to break down opponents, conceding two goals on the road.
Union face a long list of injuries, including several midfielders and defenders, which could limit their options. Hapoel also have a few players sidelined, but the impact appears less severe. Both sides have limited European experience, making the tie likely to be tight and low‑scoring.
Given Union’s higher league rank and home advantage, they are expected to at least avoid defeat, while the combined goal expectations point to a match under 2.5 goals.
Key factors
- Union unbeaten in two league games, including a 3‑0 home win
- Hapoel have scored only one goal in two Europa League matches
- Union’s home scoring average is about one goal per game
- Hapoel concede an average of two goals when playing away
- Both teams have multiple injury absences, limiting attacking options
Team news
Union St. Gilloise
- A. Ait El HadjOff the roster
- I. HurteventKnock
- O. KricfalusiKnock
- K. Mac AllisterKnee Injury
- I. PavlicOff the roster
- R. SchoofsKnock
- A. ZorganeKnock
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- D. BitonHeart Problems
- Lucas VenturaMuscle Injury
- I. NachmiasInjury
- Y. StoyanovOff the roster
- Joao VictorInactive
Statistical comparison
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | BournemouthPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TCPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. GilloisePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 7 |
| 7 | JuventusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | BeşiktaşPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 | SunderlandPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our record in UEFA Europa League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Total goals: Goals predictions · How goals markets settle · Total goals record
Teams around them in the table
Published October 20, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

