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Serie BSerie B
Full time
2-2
Sun 18 Oct · 22:00

Vila Nova vs Novorizontino prediction

Follow Vila NovaFollow NovorizontinoFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 34
Venue
Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania
Referee
Felipe Fernandes de Lima

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Vila Nova
83Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +6 goal difference

Novorizontino
80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +8 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Vila Nova or Draw

BetGenius backs Vila Nova or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

A battle for supremacy at the summit of Serie B takes place as league leaders Vila Nova host second-placed Novorizontino, with just one point separating the two promotion contenders with five rounds remaining.

Vila Nova have been practically impenetrable on home turf throughout the campaign, having collected 12 wins and three draws from 16 home fixtures while suffering only a single defeat. Their defensive solidity has been their trademark, having conceded just 11 goals at home and entering this fixture on the back of five consecutive clean sheets.

Novorizontino pose a stern challenge as the division's highest-scoring side with 59 goals to their name, powered by Robson and Romulo. While they arrive in good form following three consecutive victories, overcoming Vila Nova's disciplined setup in Goiania represents one of their toughest away assignments of the season.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Vila Nova have lost just one of their 16 home league games this season, winning 12 and drawing three.
  2. The hosts have kept five consecutive clean sheets heading into this matchup.
  3. Novorizontino have failed to win in nine of their 16 away league matches, posting five draws and four losses.
  4. All five of Vila Nova's most recent league matches have produced two or fewer total goals.
  5. Vila Nova have conceded an average of just 0.7 goals per game on home soil.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Vila Nova at homeNovorizontino away
16
Played
16
12-3-1
W-D-L
7-5-4
1.9
Scored /game
1.8
0.7
Conceded /game
0.8
50%
Clean sheets
44%
13%
Failed to score
31%
0%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
0%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Vila Nova at home plus Novorizontino away).

Players

Key players this season

Vila Nova

  • André Luís9G
  • Janderson8A
  • Marquinhos Gabriel7A

Novorizontino

  • Robson16G · 5A
  • Romulo11G · 9A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Vila NovaPromotion34+1562
2NovorizontinoPromotion34+3161
3JuventudePromotion Play-offs34+1861
4Fortaleza ECPromotion Play-offs34+1260
5CriciumaPromotion Play-offs34+759
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Vila Nova
4
Draws
4
Novorizontino

Novorizontino have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-10-18Vila Nova2-2Novorizontino
  • 2026-06-26Novorizontino2-1Vila Nova
  • 2025-09-28Novorizontino1-1Vila Nova
  • 2025-05-30Vila Nova0-1Novorizontino
  • 2024-08-31Novorizontino2-0Vila Nova
BetGenius

Our record in Serie B

79%27 won from 34 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Vila Nova or Draw
75%
Confidence

Vila Nova have turned their home ground into a stronghold, earning 39 points from a possible 48 with 12 wins, three draws, and only one loss. Their recent form is anchored by elite defensive organization, keeping clean sheets in each of their last five league games. Although Novorizontino have seven away wins, they have dropped points in nine of their 16 road trips and face the league's stingiest home defense. With so much at stake in a direct promotion clash, a tight, tactical encounter favors the hosts to secure at least a point.

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Published October 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.