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Fri 23 Oct · 20:45

Vitória SC vs Maritimo prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Referee
Diogo Rosa

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Vitória SC
54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Maritimo
39Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Vitória SC or Draw

BetGenius backs Vitória SC or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Vitória SC welcome Maritimo for matchday nine of the Primeira Liga campaign, with both sides seeking momentum after testing starts to the season. Sitting 15th in the standings with five points from eight games, Vitória SC have found goals difficult to come by, scoring five times in total while remaining disciplined at home where they have allowed just two goals in four matches.

Maritimo arrive in 11th position on eight points, carrying a record of two wins, two draws, and four defeats. While they have been more active in front of goal with nine strikes, defensive vulnerabilities have held them back, resulting in 14 goals conceded overall and an average of 1.8 conceded per away fixture.

The historical record strongly favors the home side in this encounter. Vitória SC have avoided defeat in each of their last 10 meetings with Maritimo, collecting eight wins and two draws, which includes five consecutive home victories in the matchup. Given the hosts' stingy home defense and Maritimo's inconsistent away form, the home side is well positioned to secure points.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Vitória SC are undefeated in their last 10 encounters with Maritimo, winning eight and drawing two.
  2. Vitória SC have won all five previous home fixtures against Maritimo in their head-to-head record.
  3. Vitória SC have conceded only two goals in four home league games this season, averaging 0.5 goals conceded per match.
  4. Maritimo have conceded 14 goals in eight league matches, maintaining an average of 1.8 goals allowed per away game.
  5. Meetings between these clubs average just 1.5 goals per game, with under 2.5 goals occurring in 70 percent of their last 10 clashes.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Vitória SC at homeMaritimo away
4
Played
4
1-2-1
W-D-L
1-1-2
0.5
Scored /game
1.3
0.5
Conceded /game
1.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Vitória SC at home plus Maritimo away).

Players

Key players this season

Vitória SC

  • Miguel Nogueira3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
8Alverca8+111
9SC Braga8-111
10Estrela8-110
11Vitória SC908
12Moreirense8-78
13Maritimo9-108
14Famalicao8-17
15Rio Ave8-97
16NacionalLiga Portugal (Relegation)8-94
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
8
Vitória SC
2
Draws
0
Maritimo

Vitória SC have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.6 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-23Vitória SC5-0Maritimo
  • 2023-04-29Maritimo1-2Vitória SC
  • 2022-11-13Vitória SC1-0Maritimo
  • 2022-03-13Maritimo0-1Vitória SC
  • 2021-10-22Vitória SC2-1Maritimo
BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

70%49 won from 70 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Vitória SC or Draw
76%
Confidence

Vitória SC hold a commanding head-to-head record against Maritimo, having gone unbeaten across their past 10 meetings with eight wins and two draws, including five wins from five at home. Although Vitória SC have managed only one win in eight league games overall, their defensive foundation on home turf is reliable, conceding just twice across four matches at 0.5 goals per game. Maritimo struggle defensively on the road, conceding 1.8 goals per game away from home and winning only one of four away matches. Combining the home win with the draw provides strong probability coverage in a tight, low-scoring matchup.

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Published October 22, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.