Vitória SC vs Moreirense prediction

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Primeira Liga

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 02:30 PM

Round

Regular Season - 7

Venue

Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães

Referee

Sergio Jose Dos Santos Guelho

Recent form

Vitória SC

32Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

Moreirense

26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -8 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid

Market

Double Chance

Pick

Vitória SC or Draw

Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Vitória SC or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Vitória SC welcome Moreirense to the Estádio D. Afonso Henriques looking to improve their position in the bottom half of the Primeira Liga table. The hosts have picked up four points from their opening six league fixtures, experiencing significant difficulty in front of goal with only four goals scored overall. However, their defensive record on home soil remains sturdy, having conceded just a single goal across three home matches this season.

Moreirense travel with seven points from their five matches, though their recent form has been inconsistent with three defeats in their last four competitive fixtures. While they managed a 1-0 away victory at Casa Pia, heavy defeats against Benfica and Arouca have exposed defensive vulnerabilities, resulting in 12 goals conceded across their five matches so far.

Historical head-to-head records strongly favour the home side in this specific venue. Vitória SC have won all four of their recent home meetings against Moreirense, including three consecutive 1-0 victories in their most recent clashes.

Key factors

Vitória SC have won all four head-to-head home meetings against Moreirense in the available data.
Vitória SC have conceded just one goal in three home league matches this season, keeping two clean sheets.
Moreirense have suffered three defeats in their last four matches, conceding 12 goals across five league games.
Under 2.5 goals has landed in 66.7 percent of the historical head-to-head meetings between these two sides.
Vitória SC home fixtures this season have produced an average of just 0.67 total goals per game.

Statistical comparison

Vitória SC at home vs Moreirense away

Played

1-1-1

W-D-L

1-0-2

0.3

Scored /game

0.7

0.3

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

40%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 1 goals per game (Vitória SC at home plus Moreirense away).

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
8	Academico Viseu	6	-2	8
9	GIL Vicente	5	0	7
10	Maritimo	6	-4	7
11	Moreirense	6	-6	7
12	Alverca	6	-3	5
13	Famalicao	6	-2	4
14	Vitória SC	6	-3	4
15	Nacional	6	-4	4
16	Rio AveLiga Portugal (Relegation)	6	-9	4
17	EstorilRelegation - Liga Portugal 2	6	-6	2

Head-to-head

Full record →

Vitória SC

Draws

Moreirense

Vitória SC have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.

2026-01-30Vitória SC 1-0 Moreirense
2025-08-23Moreirense 2-0 Vitória SC
2025-03-30Moreirense 2-2 Vitória SC
2024-11-03Vitória SC 1-0 Moreirense
2024-03-30Vitória SC 1-0 Moreirense

Our record in Primeira Liga

74%31 won from 42 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

1 published market

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