BetGenius
Round
League A - 3
Venue
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Referee
Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Form

Recent form

Wales
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Norway
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Norway or Draw

BetGenius backs Norway or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Wales host Norway in League A of the UEFA Nations League looking to halt a difficult start to their group campaign. The hosts suffered back-to-back away defeats in September, falling 1-0 to Portugal and 2-0 to Denmark without finding the net in either fixture. Across all competitions, Wales are winless in their last five outings.

Norway arrive with three points from their opening two group fixtures following an entertaining 3-2 victory over Denmark and a narrow 2-1 defeat against Portugal. With key contributors E. Haaland scoring three goals and M. Ødegaard providing two assists, the visitors have demonstrated consistent firepower in the final third.

With Wales struggling for goals and Norway showing sharp attacking edge despite their defensive concessions, the visitors appear well positioned to take something from this encounter.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Wales have failed to score in both Nations League fixtures, losing 1-0 to Portugal and 2-0 to Denmark.
  2. Norway have scored four goals in two group matches, led by E. Haaland with three goals and M. Ødegaard with two assists.
  3. Wales are winless in their last five matches across all competitions, recording three defeats and two draws.
  4. Norway have scored in each of their last five fixtures across all competitions.
Availability

Team news

Wales

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Norway

  • M. PedersenCold

Team news last updated Jul 11 (107 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Wales at homeNorway away
1
Played
—
1-0-0
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
100%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%
Players

Key players this season

Norway

  • M. Ødegaard4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Norway or Draw
74%
Confidence

Norway have demonstrated superior attacking output in League A, scoring four goals across two fixtures against Denmark and Portugal. Key figures E. Haaland and M. Ødegaard have been directly involved in all of those goals. In contrast, Wales have failed to score in both group fixtures, losing 1-0 to Portugal and 2-0 to Denmark, extending a five-match winless sequence. Backing Norway to either win or draw provides solid coverage against a Welsh side struggling for attacking penetration.

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Published September 30, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.