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West Brom
3W 1D 1L · Goals 9–6
5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct
72
Strong
LWWDWLatest →
atWest Ham
ChampionshipW3–1
atPrestonChampionshipD1–1
vsBlackburnChampionshipW3–2
atWrexhamChampionshipW2–1
vsBirminghamChampionshipL0–1
Full time
1-1
Tue 3 Nov21:00 WAT
West Brom vs Southampton prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 14
- Venue
- The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
- Referee
- Josh Smith
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
Southampton or Draw
BetGenius backs Southampton or Draw (Double Chance) at 62% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
62%
Confidence
Solid
Preview
Match preview
Southampton arrive as the stronger side on season-long numbers. They sit fifth on 23 points with a goal difference of +15, against West Brom's fourth place on 24 points and +5. Southampton's last five read W W D W W, with four wins and no defeat in that run, while West Brom's last five read W D W W L. West Brom have won three and drawn two of their six home league games, scoring nine and conceding six there.
Southampton's away record is the main caveat: two wins, two draws and two defeats from six, with eight goals scored and eight conceded. West Brom's home form and their fourth-place standing make this a close contest rather than a clear mismatch. Southampton's leading scorer C. Larin is flagged with a hamstring injury as of kickoff day, which lowers the reliability of their attack. The head-to-head record favours Southampton, who have won seven of the last ten meetings, but the two most recent Championship meetings produced a 1-1 draw and a 3-2 home win for Southampton, so the matchup is not one-sided.
The goal profile points to a game in which both teams are likely to find the net. West Brom have scored in 11 of 13 league games and Southampton in 12 of 13. Head-to-head meetings have produced both teams scoring in six of ten and over 2.5 goals in six of ten, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.
Form
Recent form and results
Away
Southampton
4W 1D 0L · Goals 9–3
5 matches, 11 Oct to 31 Oct
85
Excellent
WWDWWLatest →
vsQPRChampionshipW4–1- atWest HamChampionshipW3–2
vsBoltonChampionshipD0–0
atNorwichChampionshipW1–0
vsPortsmouthChampionshipW1–0
Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.
Teams
Lineups & team news
West Brom · 4-4-1-1
- 1 M. O’Leary (G)
- 18 B. Pereira (D)
- 2 C. Mepham (D)
- 6 G. Campbell (D)
- 4 C. Styles (D)
- 20 R. Nzingoula (M)
- 8 J. Molumby (M)
- 17 O. Diakité (M)
- 21 I. Price (M)
- 7 F. Myhre (M)
- 11 J. Morgan (F)
Southampton · 4-2-3-1
- 1 Daniel Peretz (G)
- 14 J. Bree (D)
- 5 J. Stephens (D)
- 13 K. Schlotterbeck (D)
- 3 R. Manning (D)
- 4 F. Downes (M)
- 30 J. Ward-Prowse (M)
- 27 K. Matsuki (M)
- 10 F. Azaz (M)
- 23 S. Edozie (M)
- 28 D. Mubama (F)
West BromSubstitutes (9)
- 23T. BanyF
- 19A. HeggebøF
- 13M. IngramG
- 3N. PhillipsD
- 9B. StewartF
- 22C. TownsendD
- 29Harry WhitwellM
- 32R. ParmarF
- 35M. CrowtherM
SouthamptonSubstitutes (9)
- 11L. DobbinF
- 40Princewill EhibhatiomhanF
- 18T. FellowsM
- 25G. LongG
- 34WelingtonD
- 53Barnaby WilliamsM
- 15N. Wood-GordonD
- 26Cameron BraggM
- 6Z. AbbottD
Starting XIs reported by API-Football, fetched 3 Nov 2026, 21:12 WAT. These are reported lineups, not predicted selections. Late changes may follow.
West Brom
- T. CollyerInjury
- N. GalvesKnee Injury
- M. JohnstonBroken Leg
Southampton
- C. LarinHamstring Injury
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Venue records: West Brom: Championship (2026); Southampton: Championship (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.
A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.
West Brom at homeSouthampton away
6
Played
6
3-2-1
W-D-L
2-2-2
1.5
Scored /game
1.3
1
Conceded /game
1.3
17%
Clean sheets
17%
17%
Failed to score
0%
80% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
40% (5 games)
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
40% (5 games)
Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (West Brom at home plus Southampton away).
Players
Key players this season
West Brom
- J. Morgan5G · 4A
Southampton
- C. LarinHamstring Injury7G
- F. Azaz5A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals) | 14 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals) | 14 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 | SwanseaPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 14 | +5 | 26 |
| 6 | West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 | SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 14 | +15 | 24 |
| 8 | West HamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 14 | +15 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | +3 | 22 |
History
Head-to-head
- 1
- West Brom
- 2
- Draws
- 7
- Southampton
Southampton have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.
- 2026-03-11West Brom1-1Southampton
- 2025-12-09Southampton3-2West Brom
- 2024-05-17Southampton3-1West Brom
- 2024-05-12West Brom0-0Southampton
- 2024-02-16West Brom0-2Southampton
Prices
Archived pre-match odds
Provider quote time: 3 Nov 2026, 17:26 WAT. Decimal prices. Historical quotes, not current offers. Coverage varies by selection; these are cached quotes, not a complete market survey.
Match Winner
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.38 / 10 |
| Away | 3.07 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.91 / 10 |
| Draw | 3.50 · DafabetNamed quotes (5)
| 3.30 / 10 |
Double Chance
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Away | 1.33 · William HillNamed quotes (5)
| 1.30 / 8 |
| Home/Draw | 1.44 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.36 / 8 |
| Draw/Away | 1.60 · SBONamed quotes (5)
| 1.56 / 8 |
Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 | 1.02 · BetanoNamed quotes (1)
| 1.02 / 1 |
| Under 4.75 | 1.03 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.03 / 2 |
| Under 5.0 | 1.04 · 1xBetNamed quotes (1)
| 1.04 / 1 |
| Under 5.5 | 1.05 · BetanoNamed quotes (4)
| 1.03 / 4 |
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 · BetanoNamed quotes (4)
| 1.04 / 4 |
| Under 4.25 | 1.09 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.08 / 2 |
| Under 4.5 | 1.14 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.10 / 7 |
| Under 4.0 | 1.18 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.10 / 3 |
| Over 1.25 | 1.19 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.12 / 3 |
| Under 3.75 | 1.23 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.21 / 3 |
| Over 1.5 | 1.31 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.28 / 7 |
| Over 1.75 | 1.36 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.29 / 3 |
| Under 3.5 | 1.36 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 1.33 / 7 |
| Over 2.0 | 1.47 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.44 / 5 |
| Under 3.25 | 1.53 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 1.38 / 4 |
| Over 2.25 | 1.69 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.65 / 5 |
| Under 3.0 | 1.70 · SBONamed quotes (5)
| 1.48 / 6 |
| Under 2.75 | 1.73 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.66 / 5 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.93 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.89 / 8 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.96 · SBONamed quotes (5)
| 1.90 / 8 |
| Over 2.75 | 2.21 · SBONamed quotes (5)
| 2.08 / 5 |
| Under 2.25 | 2.25 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.14 / 5 |
| Over 3.0 | 2.65 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 2.44 / 6 |
| Over 3.25 | 2.75 · 1xBetNamed quotes (4)
| 2.71 / 4 |
| Under 2.0 | 2.91 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.66 / 5 |
| Under 1.75 | 3.10 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 3.08 / 3 |
| Over 3.5 | 3.26 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 3.20 / 7 |
| Over 3.75 | 3.78 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 3.74 / 3 |
| Under 1.5 | 3.82 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 3.48 / 7 |
| Under 1.25 | 4.80 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (3)
| 4.80 / 3 |
| Over 4.0 | 5.15 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (3)
| 5.15 / 3 |
| Over 4.25 | 5.53 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 5.52 / 2 |
| Over 4.5 | 7.00 · BetVictorNamed quotes (5)
| 6.00 / 7 |
| Over 4.75 | 7.70 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 7.70 / 2 |
| Under 1.0 | 8.70 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 8.70 / 2 |
| Over 5.0 | 9.00 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 8.45 / 2 |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 10.00 / 5 |
| Over 5.5 | 13.00 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 10.75 / 5 |
| Over 6.5 | 26.00 · Bet365Named quotes (3)
| 26.00 / 3 |
| Over 7.5 | 51.00 · Bet365Named quotes (2)
| 50.50 / 2 |
Both Teams Score
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.67 / 7 |
| No | 2.20 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 2.09 / 7 |
Bookmaker prices are separate from BetGenius confidence ratings. No opening price or odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot.
BetGenius
Our record in Championship
64%168 won from 261 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
1 published market
Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Southampton or Draw
62%
Confidence
Southampton have the better season profile, with a +15 goal difference, four wins in their last five, and a stronger squad record than West Brom's +5. Their away results are less convincing, with two wins from six, so a Southampton win on its own is roughly a 40 percent proposition. A draw is a realistic outcome given that two of the last ten meetings ended level and West Brom have drawn two of their six home games. Covering a Southampton win or a draw therefore sits comfortably above the win alone. The main risks are Larin's hamstring problem and West Brom's home strength under E. Ramsay.
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About this data
Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 2 Nov 2026, 06:40 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.
Team context last fetched: West Brom: 3 Nov 2026, 06:05 WAT; Southampton: 3 Nov 2026, 06:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 5 Nov 2026, 00:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.
Completed match: published prediction record
This match has finished. The published call is retained for review; see today’s predictions.
Published November 2, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.