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Sat 5 Sept · 15:00

West Ham vs Derby prediction

Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
London Stadium, London
Referee
Oliver Langford, England
Form

Recent form

West Ham
68Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +6 goal difference

Derby
22Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
West Ham or Draw

BetGenius backs West Ham or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

West Ham welcome Derby to the London Stadium for matchday five of the Championship season, with both sides looking to build momentum after mixed starts to their campaigns. The Hammers sit 12th in the table with five points from four fixtures, having displayed considerable attacking potency by scoring eight goals while failing to keep a clean sheet. Their recent 4-2 home victory over Wolves demonstrated their firepower, though defensive concessions remain an ongoing concern.

Derby occupy 16th place with four points, having recorded one win, one draw, and two defeats in the league. The Rams secured an encouraging 2-0 away win at Portsmouth in their last outing, but five first-team players are currently sidelined, which tests their squad depth ahead of this trip.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. West Ham have scored in 100% of their league matches this season, averaging 2.0 goals per game overall and 2.5 at home.
  2. West Ham have yet to keep a clean sheet in the Championship, conceding seven goals across four games.
  3. Derby are missing five squad members through injury or unavailability, including P. Agyemang, D. Murkin, L. Travis, M. Clarke, and C. Morris.
  4. West Ham have won two of the three recorded head-to-head encounters between the sides.
Availability

Team news

West Ham

  • K. LamadridInjury

Derby

  • P. AgyemangAchilles Tendon Injury
  • M. ClarkeCalf Injury
  • C. ForsythKnee Injury
  • S. LangasInjury
  • D. MurkinHamstring Injury
  • C. TaylorInjury
  • J. Widell ZetterstromKnee Injury
  • E. CashinInactive
  • M. JohnstonInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

West Ham at homeDerby away
5
Played
5
3-1-1
W-D-L
1-1-3
3
Scored /game
1
1
Conceded /game
2
40%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
Failed to score
20%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 4 goals per game (West Ham at home plus Derby away).

Players

Key players this season

West Ham

  • J. Bowen6G · 5A
  • K. Mavropanos5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1SwanseaPromotion - Premier League11+823
2West HamPromotion - Premier League11+1822
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
23DerbyRelegation - League One11-116
24PrestonRelegation - League One11-154
History

Head-to-head

2
West Ham
0
Draws
1
Derby

West Ham have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2023-01-30Derby0-2West Ham
  • 2011-12-31Derby2-1West Ham
  • 2011-11-26West Ham3-1Derby
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%137 won from 216 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
West Ham or Draw
76%
Confidence

West Ham have found the back of the net in all four of their league fixtures this season, averaging 2.5 goals per match on home soil. Derby enter the fixture with multiple absences including P. Agyemang, D. Murkin, L. Travis, M. Clarke, and C. Morris, leaving them depleted against a West Ham attack that has registered eight goals in four league games.

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Published September 3, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.