BetGenius

West Ham vs Derby prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5, 02:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
London Stadium, London
Referee
Oliver Langford, England

Recent form

West Ham
78Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Derby
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
West Ham or Draw
Confidence76%

BetGenius backs West Ham or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

West Ham welcome Derby to the London Stadium for matchday five of the Championship season, with both sides looking to build momentum after mixed starts to their campaigns. The Hammers sit 12th in the table with five points from four fixtures, having displayed considerable attacking potency by scoring eight goals while failing to keep a clean sheet. Their recent 4-2 home victory over Wolves demonstrated their firepower, though defensive concessions remain an ongoing concern.

Derby occupy 16th place with four points, having recorded one win, one draw, and two defeats in the league. The Rams secured an encouraging 2-0 away win at Portsmouth in their last outing, but five first-team players are currently sidelined, which tests their squad depth ahead of this trip.

Key factors

  • West Ham have scored in 100% of their league matches this season, averaging 2.0 goals per game overall and 2.5 at home.
  • West Ham have yet to keep a clean sheet in the Championship, conceding seven goals across four games.
  • Derby are missing five squad members through injury or unavailability, including P. Agyemang, D. Murkin, L. Travis, M. Clarke, and C. Morris.
  • West Ham have won two of the three recorded head-to-head encounters between the sides.

Team news

West Ham

  • T. SoucekAnkle Injury
  • T. CastellanosInjury
  • PabloCalf Injury

Derby

  • P. AgyemangAchilles Tendon Injury
  • D. MurkinHamstring Injury
  • L. TravisInjury
  • M. ClarkeCalf Injury
  • C. ForsythInactive
  • C. MorrisInactive

Statistical comparison

West Ham at home vs Derby away
3
Played
3
2-0-1
W-D-L
1-0-2
2.7
Scored /game
1
1.3
Conceded /game
1.7
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (West Ham at home plus Derby away).

Key players this season

West Ham

  • J. Bowen2A

Derby

  • B. Clark2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1West HamPromotion - Premier League6+511
2SwanseaPromotion - Premier League6+411
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)5+310
4QPRPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)5+310
18Blackburn6-25
19Lincoln5-25
20Cardiff6-34
21Derby5-54
22BoltonRelegation - League One6-64
23BurnleyRelegation - League One6-63
24PrestonRelegation - League One6-63

Head-to-head

Full record →
West Ham
2
Draws
0
Derby
1

West Ham have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2023-01-30Derby 0-2 West Ham
  • 2011-12-31Derby 2-1 West Ham
  • 2011-11-26West Ham 3-1 Derby

Our record in Championship

63%52 won from 82 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
West Ham or Draw
Confidence76%

West Ham have found the back of the net in all four of their league fixtures this season, averaging 2.5 goals per match on home soil. Derby enter the fixture with multiple absences including P. Agyemang, D. Murkin, L. Travis, M. Clarke, and C. Morris, leaving them depleted against a West Ham attack that has registered eight goals in four league games.

More from BetGenius

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Published September 3, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.