Brighton

Nine of the last ten meetings between Liverpool and Brighton have produced over 2.5 goals, with the series averaging 3.4 goals per match. Brighton have been exceptionally prolific in the league, scoring 23 times in seven games, including 10 goals in three away matches. Liverpool have shown defensive vulnerabilities at home, conceding five goals in three league fixtures while participating in open, high-scoring contests such as their recent 4-3 win over Villarreal.

Both teams have scored in 70 percent of the last ten meetings between the sides. Brighton have yet to be shut out in the league this season, scoring in all seven matches. Liverpool have kept only one clean sheet in three league home games and conceded 1.7 goals per home match, but their attack remains capable of finding the net through Isak and Cody Gakpo against a Brighton side that has conceded four goals in three away league matches.

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Nine of the last ten meetings between Liverpool and Brighton have produced over 2.5 goals, with the series averaging 3.4 goals per match. Brighton have been exceptionally prolific in the league, scoring 23 times in seven games, including 10 goals in three away matches. Liverpool have shown defensive vulnerabilities at home, conceding five goals in three league fixtures while participating in open, high-scoring contests such as their recent 4-3 win over Villarreal.

BTTS Yes — 72% confidence

Both teams have scored in 70 percent of the last ten meetings between the sides. Brighton have yet to be shut out in the league this season, scoring in all seven matches. Liverpool have kept only one clean sheet in three league home games and conceded 1.7 goals per home match, but their attack remains capable of finding the net through Isak and Cody Gakpo against a Brighton side that has conceded four goals in three away league matches.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Brighton or Draw — 77% confidence

Brighton enter this fixture in strong form, sitting third in the table with 13 points from six matches and an unbeaten home record of two wins and one draw. At home, Brighton have conceded only one goal in three fixtures while scoring eight. However, Crystal Palace have proven a resilient opponent in this rivalry, drawing five of the last ten meetings and winning the most recent clash 1-0 in February 2026. With Brighton attackers K. Mitoma and E. Ferguson sidelined through injury, covering both the home win and the draw reflects the high frequency of stalemates in this matchup.

Crystal Palace Under 1.5 Goals — 73% confidence

Crystal Palace have struggled for goals on the road in the league, scoring three times across three away matches and failing to score in two of them. Their attack is further depleted by the absence of J. Mateta due to a hamstring injury. Brighton's defense on home turf has been remarkably compact, conceding an average of 0.3 goals per game with two clean sheets in three home league matches, making it unlikely Palace breach them multiple times.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Crystal Palace have struggled for goals on the road in the league, scoring three times across three away matches and failing to score in two of them. Their attack is further depleted by the absence of J. Mateta due to a hamstring injury. Brighton's defense on home turf has been remarkably compact, conceding an average of 0.3 goals per game with two clean sheets in three home league matches, making it unlikely Palace breach them multiple times.

Brighton enter this fixture in strong form, sitting third in the table with 13 points from six matches and an unbeaten home record of two wins and one draw. At home, Brighton have conceded only one goal in three fixtures while scoring eight. However, Crystal Palace have proven a resilient opponent in this rivalry, drawing five of the last ten meetings and winning the most recent clash 1-0 in February 2026. With Brighton attackers K. Mitoma and E. Ferguson sidelined through injury, covering both the home win and the draw reflects the high frequency of stalemates in this matchup.

Brighton’s unbeaten run, four‑goal home average and clean‑sheet record outweigh Kauno’s decent away form. Even with multiple injuries, Brighton’s quality and home advantage give them a clear edge, making a home win the most probable single outcome.

Brighton have been in prolific form, finding the net 16 times in their last five fixtures and winning three consecutive matches against Arsenal, Manchester United, and Coventry. While an extensive list of missing players creates potential vulnerability, Sunderland have won just once in five league matches and average only 0.5 goals scored per match at home. Across three head-to-head meetings, Sunderland have never defeated Brighton, making the away side well positioned to take something from the encounter.

Brighton have consistently featured in open matches, with all five of their most recent fixtures producing at least two goals, including scorelines of 3-0, 3-2, 5-0, 1-1, and 4-3. Their away fixtures alone have averaged six total goals per match, supported by an offensive output of four goals scored and two conceded on the road. Sunderland have conceded an average of two goals per match overall, suggesting Brighton will find opportunities despite missing several attacking options. However, clearing three goals faces meaningful resistance. Sunderland have managed just one goal in two home league matches and are without their primary scorer Brian Brobbey due to injury. Furthermore, the two most recent league meetings between these clubs ended 0-0 and 1-0. Because Sunderland's attacking limitations at home curb the likelihood of a high-scoring shootout, the two-goal line on over 1.5 is materially stronger than over 2.5.

Arsenal arrive in dominant form with five straight wins in all competitions and having conceded just once in the Premier League this season. Brighton have demonstrated attacking flair but face substantial squad depth challenges with eight players sidelined through injury, including Kaoru Mitoma and Evan Ferguson. In head-to-head encounters, Arsenal have avoided defeat in their last seven meetings against Brighton, claiming six wins and two draws across the last ten matches overall.

Both teams have displayed consistently high goal returns in recent outings. Manchester United have scored eleven goals in their last three matches, while Brighton have found the net in four of their last five fixtures, including a seven-goal thriller against Chelsea. Furthermore, seventy percent of the last ten meetings between these sides have produced three or more goals, pointing towards another open cup tie.

Brighton or Draw — 78% confidence

Brighton have shown potent attacking form with eight goals scored in three Premier League games, while Coventry have yet to register a point or a goal in the competition. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat covers both the away victory and a low-scoring stalemate.

Brighton Over 0.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Brighton have scored in every Premier League match this season, averaging 2.7 goals per fixture. Coventry have conceded in all three league outings and have kept zero clean sheets.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Brighton have shown potent attacking form with eight goals scored in three Premier League games, while Coventry have yet to register a point or a goal in the competition. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat covers both the away victory and a low-scoring stalemate.

Brighton have a dominant record at home against Leeds, winning four and drawing one of their last five meetings at the Amex without conceding a goal. Although Brighton's squad is impacted by several attacking injuries, Leeds have managed only two goals across their opening two matches, making a home win or draw the most probable outcome.

Both teams exhibited strong attacking metrics in their opening Premier League matches, with Chelsea scoring three goals against Fulham and Brighton hitting four past Aston Villa. Historically, this fixture is exceptionally high-scoring, with 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings producing over 2.5 total goals and averaging 3.8 goals per match. Given Chelsea's vulnerability in conceding twice in their opener and Brighton's proven scoring record against them, surpassing the 2.5 goal threshold is well supported.

The first leg between these sides ended goalless with neither side finding a breakthrough. Brighton have kept clean sheets in three of their last four matches across all competitions, while Tromso have conceded only one goal in three European fixtures, pointing toward a low-scoring dynamic where at least one team may fail to score.

Brighton have been excellent on home soil, winning each of their last four home matches while conceding only three goals across that run. Although Tromso showed resilience in the 0-0 first leg, Brighton’s stronger home form and overall advantage make Brighton to Win the preferred selection.

Aston Villa have dominated recent head-to-head encounters against Brighton, winning seven of the last ten meetings, including four of the five played at Brighton. While both squads face multiple injury absences, the historical trend heavily favours Villa avoiding defeat.