Hellas Verona

Verona’s home form – two wins, a strong scoring rate and a tight defence – gives them a high probability of at least a draw. Catanzaro have struggled away, scoring only once per game and failing to keep a clean sheet. The double‑chance hedge protects against a rare draw while still reflecting Verona’s clear edge. The combined expected goal output exceeds the league average, supporting an over‑2.5 goals market.

Cagliari have shown consistent defensive organization, conceding just one goal across their last four matches in all competitions. Furthermore, Cagliari have remained unbeaten in their last four meetings with Hellas Verona, securing three wins and one draw. Verona have struggled for form on the road and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three outings, making a home win or draw the most probable outcome.