İstanbulspor

Four of Ağrı 1970's last five matches have generated at least two goals, including scorelines of 2-1, 0-2, 2-0, and 1-2. İstanbulspor have shown severe defensive problems on their travels, conceding nine goals across their last two away fixtures against Muğlaspor and Batman Petrolspor. That defensive permeability provides a strong base for at least two goals to be scored. Pushing to three or more goals is harder to justify because İstanbulspor have failed to score in three of their last four matches, while Ağrı 1970 have also been held scoreless in two of their last three. The evidence points reliably to two goals without adequately supporting the requirement for a third.

İstanbulspor enter this fixture in poor form, having lost four straight matches while conceding 12 goals, including five away at Muğlaspor on 24 October. Ağrı 1970 have already demonstrated cup capability with a 2-0 win over Niğde Belediyesispor earlier in October, and their previous home outing brought a 2-1 victory against Diyarbekirspor. Backing the hosts to avoid defeat covers both a home win and a draw in a knockout match where the visitors are struggling defensively.